On this day one year ago, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $126,080. Exactly 365 days later, it’s down to just $85,576 🦖

🔭 进群看资金去哪

On this birthday, Bitcoin made its third run at $87,000—and got knocked right back down. It fell 1.2% in 24 hours, closing near $85,600 📉

This is the third time since September 23 that Bitcoin has been rejected at the $87,000 threshold. Every time it pushes higher, a wave of sell orders comes in and sends it back down.

The hard data is right here: the total crypto market cap has slipped to around $2.93 trillion, just shy of the $2.95 trillion resistance level. The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 5.32%, its highest level since 2002, while the 2-year yield is up to 4.83%. Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio has publicly warned that demand for U.S. Treasuries could shrink as major overseas buyers pull back. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 has hit a new closing high, and the S&P 500 is just 0.5% away from its all-time high. Clearly, investors would rather keep their money in stocks.

FxPro analyst Alex Kuptsikevich put it this way: Bitcoin has reached the apex of a triangle formed by rising support and horizontal resistance. If it breaks out, volatility could increase significantly ⚠️

My take: this wall isn’t magic—it’s about positioning. Every time Bitcoin touches $87,000, sell orders come pouring in, which suggests a crowd of people at that price waiting to break even or take profits. As the triangle narrows toward its apex, the next move is either a high-volume breakout or a drop to find support. No one can know the direction in advance. What really matters isn’t whether Bitcoin can touch $87K, but whether spot buyers can hold it there and push the close above $87,000. If it does close above that level, it’ll be the highest price in eight months 📈

On the altcoin side, ADA is up 11%, GRT 7%, NEAR nearly 7%, and HYPE 3% to $94, while BNB is down 2.5%. With the majors taking a breather, money is looking for opportunities in smaller coins. But the bigger picture is that Bitcoin is still 32% below last year’s peak of $126K.

Do you think this is the final shakeout before a breakout, or has the rally really run out of steam? Let’s discuss in the comments.

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Every day, I’ll keep you up to date on the latest Bitcoin stories—not just what’s happening, but the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀