In the past five years, the BTC 1-month ATM IV has fallen to 35% or below only six times in total—every single time, it happened right before a major market turning point.
Let's review these six historical moments:
1、Early Jan 23: the bear market ends, ushering in the first round of rallies
2、Aug–Oct 23: the shift from bearish to bullish completes, and the bull market officially begins
3、Aug–Sep 25: the bull market tops out and the first round of selloff follows
4、Jan 26: the bear market rebound tops out and quickly rolls over
5、May 26: the rebound high ends, and the market plunges sharply
6、Aug 26: the bear market ends and another uptrend restarts
And now, this is the 7th time.
I’ve marked the timing of the most recent four occurrences on the DVOL volatility index—once you see it, the pattern is obvious:
After Sep 25, the market rises 75%.
After Jan 26, it rises 133%.
After May 26, it rises 61%.
After Aug 26, it rises 40%.
When you look back at history, which one didn’t come with a real opportunity?
There’s no need to rush into betting blindly on one direction—long or short.
Many people focus on catching upswings and downswings, but they ignore the signals volatility provides.
“Your wealth has boundaries defined by your cognition.” Put here, it really carries weight.
Understanding cycle signals and waiting patiently for opportunities matters far more than opening trades too frequently.
If you want to dive deep into the crypto world but can’t find your footing, and you want a fast way to get started and understand the information gap, come chat with me in my room—get firsthand insights and in-depth analysis!
Let's review these six historical moments:
1、Early Jan 23: the bear market ends, ushering in the first round of rallies
2、Aug–Oct 23: the shift from bearish to bullish completes, and the bull market officially begins
3、Aug–Sep 25: the bull market tops out and the first round of selloff follows
4、Jan 26: the bear market rebound tops out and quickly rolls over
5、May 26: the rebound high ends, and the market plunges sharply
6、Aug 26: the bear market ends and another uptrend restarts
And now, this is the 7th time.
I’ve marked the timing of the most recent four occurrences on the DVOL volatility index—once you see it, the pattern is obvious:
After Sep 25, the market rises 75%.
After Jan 26, it rises 133%.
After May 26, it rises 61%.
After Aug 26, it rises 40%.
When you look back at history, which one didn’t come with a real opportunity?
There’s no need to rush into betting blindly on one direction—long or short.
Many people focus on catching upswings and downswings, but they ignore the signals volatility provides.
“Your wealth has boundaries defined by your cognition.” Put here, it really carries weight.
Understanding cycle signals and waiting patiently for opportunities matters far more than opening trades too frequently.
If you want to dive deep into the crypto world but can’t find your footing, and you want a fast way to get started and understand the information gap, come chat with me in my room—get firsthand insights and in-depth analysis!
