The Green Dragon series was won, but before the match, that pick—the first map—got completely broken.
ESL Pro League, Round 1: the world #1 Team Spirit vs world #77 ShindeN.
Before the match, the bookmakers had the Green Dragon at 1.26 to 1.40, the other side at 2.7 to 3.5—implied win probability about 75% to 80%.
The Green Dragon also came in on an 11-game win streak, and mainstream predictions went straight with 2:0.
In the end, the Green Dragon chose their strong map Dust2—11:13 first, then they lost. Nuke 13:11 to level it up, Mirage 13:4 to close it out—series 2:1.
The series odds didn’t flip, but the single-map odds did.
In the end, whoever bought the Green Dragon to win the series was right. But anyone who bought the idea that “the strong map won’t be dropped” got educated on the very first map.
The one sponsored by Binance is that ShindeN roster.
They didn’t sponsor the world #1 team’s jerseys—they sponsored the other side. Whenever they run into the Green Dragon, attention will come to them on its own.
This Dust2 already settled the account.
The esports market is most likely to die in places like this: the series favorite holds, but the map order gets blown up for the first round.
On Predict too, CS2 bets like this are separated—win/loss, maps, and handicaps aren’t the same bet. If you only place orders based on the team names, this match is just the sample.
@predictdotfun-华语
ESL Pro League, Round 1: the world #1 Team Spirit vs world #77 ShindeN.
Before the match, the bookmakers had the Green Dragon at 1.26 to 1.40, the other side at 2.7 to 3.5—implied win probability about 75% to 80%.
The Green Dragon also came in on an 11-game win streak, and mainstream predictions went straight with 2:0.
In the end, the Green Dragon chose their strong map Dust2—11:13 first, then they lost. Nuke 13:11 to level it up, Mirage 13:4 to close it out—series 2:1.
The series odds didn’t flip, but the single-map odds did.
In the end, whoever bought the Green Dragon to win the series was right. But anyone who bought the idea that “the strong map won’t be dropped” got educated on the very first map.
The one sponsored by Binance is that ShindeN roster.
They didn’t sponsor the world #1 team’s jerseys—they sponsored the other side. Whenever they run into the Green Dragon, attention will come to them on its own.
This Dust2 already settled the account.
The esports market is most likely to die in places like this: the series favorite holds, but the map order gets blown up for the first round.
On Predict too, CS2 bets like this are separated—win/loss, maps, and handicaps aren’t the same bet. If you only place orders based on the team names, this match is just the sample.
@predictdotfun-华语