šŸ“” 8-hour recap | Oct 04, 08:00-16:00

RecodeX rebuilds messages—over the past eight hours, global market moves and policy signals have intertwined: China’s A-share market saw a peak of restricted-share releases totaling over RMB 310 billion; meanwhile, U.S. September nonfarm payroll data came in unexpectedly weak. At home, holiday consumption and travel figures kept gaining momentum. In tech, DeepSeek updated its Harness tool; Tesla extended Robotaxi nighttime operations; and several countries took action regarding AI risks and data security. On geopolitics, Germany’s chancellor paid an unexpected visit to Ukraine, Iran responded to a U.S. proposal—regional dynamics remain fluid.

šŸ“ˆ Markets & Macro

1. This week, China’s A-share market is set for a peak of restricted-share releases, with the total release value exceeding RMB 310 billion. Among them, five stocks account for more than 70% of their total share capital.

2. U.S. September nonfarm employment data came in unexpectedly below market expectations, described as a ā€œbig surprise.ā€ It may affect expectations for the Fed’s next monetary-policy move. The market is watching whether A-shares can deliver a ā€œstrong startā€ after the National Day holiday.

3. There are ā€œshort-squeezeā€ signals in U.S. equities in Q4. Quant commodity trading adviser (CTA) strategies have sharply reduced positions, while stock buybacks on the order of about $1.3 trillion are building momentum.

4. The Ministry of Commerce’s spokesperson answered reporters’ questions about the G20 meeting of trade ministers, saying that the parties exchanged views on opposing the weaponization of food and tackling excess capacity, and reached a joint statement on food-related issues. No outcome document was formed on other topics.

5. A China Bank helped Korea’s Industrial Bank issue a 3-year offshore RMB bond worth RMB 3 billion. The coupon rate is 1.69%, setting a record for the largest-scale offshore RMB public bond issuance by Korea’s Industrial Bank.

šŸ¤– AI & Technology

1. During the holiday period, DeepSeek updated its Harness tool, rolling out a new version. As of now, the official has not yet announced the specific functional changes and upgrade details for this version.

2. The Wall Street Journal reported that a U.S. artificial intelligence working group will submit a report on risks arising from AI technology. The working group is tasked with assessing relevant technological risks and producing the report.

3. Robinhood announced that it has launched an AI trading agent feature in its app, and also pre-announced to U.S. users that it will offer 10x leveraged BTC and ETH perpetual contracts. The related disclosure documents indicate that execution risk and third-party large language model data-use risk are borne by the customer.

4. Hyundai Motor plans to deploy 25,000 Boston Dynamics Atlas robots and build a robot factory in the U.S. with an annual production capacity of 30,000 units.

5. The world’s smallest non-invasive brain-computer integrated systemā€”ā€œShengong • Xumi • Brain Cubeā€ā€”was released in Tianjin. The entire system weighs only 3 grams.

šŸŒ Geopolitics & Security

1. Ukraine’s armed forces carried out strikes on drone launch sites in Donetsk Oblast and on military targets in Russia’s Belgorod Oblast. Specific damage and losses were not detailed in the reports.

2. On October 4 (local time), Germany’s chancellor Scholz made a sudden visit to Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, where he will announce €1 billion in military aid for Ukraine and €350 million earmarked for repairs in the energy sector.

3. Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesperson said Iran has responded to the proposal put forward by the United States. The Iranian side noted that the proposal still focuses on nuclear issues, and Iran hopes to shift the discussion’s focus to the Strait of Hormuz.

4. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has ordered relevant authorities to raise security levels for all flights heading to Israel, including flights operated by Israeli airlines and foreign airlines.

5. South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol? (Lee Jae-myung)?? On October 4, President Lee Jae-myung ordered a thorough investigation into recent personal-data leaks involving financial institutions and public organizations, and set out corresponding response measures.

šŸš— Industry & Consumer

1. During the National Day holiday, the national policy on trading in old consumer goods for new ones has been working in tandem with local supplementary subsidies. The fourth tranche of RMB 62.5 billion in ultra-long-term special treasury bond funding was put in place before the holiday. Across the country, more than 20,000 cultural and tourism events will be held and more than RMB 310 million in consumption vouchers will be distributed.

2. Data from the national charging-infrastructure monitoring service platform shows that from 0:00 on October 1 to 24:00 on October 3, the number of charging sessions for new-energy vehicles on national expressways totaled 2.9686 million. The average per day was 0.9895 million, up 48.41% year-on-year.

3. Data from Maoyan Professional indicates that during the 2026 National Day holiday period (October 1 to October 7), box office has already surpassed RMB 600 million. ā€œDetective Dee: Sequel?ā€ (ć€Šē„žęŽ¢ä¹‹ē—•čæ¹ć€‹), ā€œWhat’s the Point, Mr. & Mrs.?ā€ (ć€Šä»€ä¹ˆę„ę€å¤«å¦‡ć€‹), and ā€œWelcome to Long Restaurantā€ (ć€Šę¬¢čæŽę„é¾™é¤é¦†ć€‹) currently rank in the top three on the period box office chart.

4. Ministry of Transport data shows that on October 3, 2026—the 3rd day of the National Day holiday—total inter-regional passenger travel across society was 30.3568 million person-trips. This is down 0.6% month-on-month and down 0.4% versus the same period in 2025.

5. Zhuhai Entry-Exit Inspection and Quarantine Station announced on October 4 that during the first three days of the National Day holiday, the station verified inbound and outbound passenger flows totaling 2.24 million person-trips, and entry/exit transportation vehicles/equipment reaching 130,000 vehicle/vessel/aircraft trips. These figures represent about 5% and 10% year-on-year increases, respectively.

ā›“ļø Amplification & FinTech

1. Xiao Feng said that a financial center must embrace tokenization, blockchain, and 24/7 operations. Dual-side tokenization of both funds and assets will concentrate liquidity and pricing power. Trading, settlement, and regulatory standards need to evolve in coordination.

2. The CEO of Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX), Chen Yiting (é™ˆēæŠåŗ­), said that international investors have redirected their attention back to Asia, especially the China market. HKEX will study launching gold futures denominated in RMB.

3. The Arizona Corporation Commission accused IVT Media Group of selling Iron Vault Tokens without registration and of hiding the financial history of its founder. Regulators have halted the issuance of the stablecoin.

4. Haseeb Qureshi, Managing Partner at Dragonfly Capital, said that ongoing token unlocks are undermining some tokens’ confidence in secondary markets. Many projects are facing sustained sell pressure brought by multi-year unlock schedules.

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