ฮ ETHEREUM โ October 4, 2026
๐ Price: ~$2,692โ2,698
๐ Daily: +0.47โ0.57%, ETH held $2,690 after bouncing from $2,672
โ๏ธ Trigger: NFP +29K โ the chances of a rate hike in October fell to ~25%
๐ WHATโS IMPORTANT
โข ETH ETF: week 28.09โ02.10 โ an outflow of $118M after an inflow of $690M the week prior
โข Over 3 days of outflows: Wed $59.6M, Thu $55.4M, Fri $17.3M
โข Grayscale ETH Mini: +$13.9M โ the only major inflow
โข Exiting staking: 77k ETH in the queue โ the highest since December 2025
โ๏ธ LEVELS
๐ข Support: $2,669 โ $2,554 (liquidations $730M) โ $2,445
๐ด Resistance: $2,754 โ $2,797 (liquidations $654M) โ $2,850โ3,000
๐ฌ SENTIMENT
Fear & Greed: 65. RSI 65, MACD at zero. 69.5% of retail traders are long. Break above $2,754 โ target $2,850; losing $2,669 โ risk of dropping to $2,576.
โ ๏ธ RISKS
โข Queue to exit staking (77k ETH) โ sell pressure
โข $2,554 โ long liquidation zone totaling $730M
โข ETF outflows for 3 days in a row โ institutions are taking profit
โข FedWatch: October โ ~25% for a rate hike
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice. The crypto market is high risk.
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #ETF #Grayscale #Staking #FOMC #NFP $ETH
๐ Price: ~$2,692โ2,698
๐ Daily: +0.47โ0.57%, ETH held $2,690 after bouncing from $2,672
โ๏ธ Trigger: NFP +29K โ the chances of a rate hike in October fell to ~25%
๐ WHATโS IMPORTANT
โข ETH ETF: week 28.09โ02.10 โ an outflow of $118M after an inflow of $690M the week prior
โข Over 3 days of outflows: Wed $59.6M, Thu $55.4M, Fri $17.3M
โข Grayscale ETH Mini: +$13.9M โ the only major inflow
โข Exiting staking: 77k ETH in the queue โ the highest since December 2025
โ๏ธ LEVELS
๐ข Support: $2,669 โ $2,554 (liquidations $730M) โ $2,445
๐ด Resistance: $2,754 โ $2,797 (liquidations $654M) โ $2,850โ3,000
๐ฌ SENTIMENT
Fear & Greed: 65. RSI 65, MACD at zero. 69.5% of retail traders are long. Break above $2,754 โ target $2,850; losing $2,669 โ risk of dropping to $2,576.
โ ๏ธ RISKS
โข Queue to exit staking (77k ETH) โ sell pressure
โข $2,554 โ long liquidation zone totaling $730M
โข ETF outflows for 3 days in a row โ institutions are taking profit
โข FedWatch: October โ ~25% for a rate hike
โ ๏ธ Not financial advice. The crypto market is high risk.
#Ethereum #ETH #Crypto #MarketAnalysis #ETF #Grayscale #Staking #FOMC #NFP $ETH
