1 billion XRP just got unlocked, and 700 million were moved back into the vault the same day—so the sell pressure the market was waiting for didn’t show up 🦖
👥 一起来群里抬杠
Ripple followed its old playbook and unlocked 1 billion XRP at the start of the month in four tranches (400M, 200M, 300M, 100M). But almost at the same time, it moved 700M of those—worth about $1.05 billion at the time—back into two new custodial agreements (400M + 300M).
In one sentence: the only amount that truly stayed outside custody and may enter circulation is 300M XRP. And XRP’s current price is hovering around $1.49—repeatedly testing the $1.54 to $1.59 zone, but it still hasn’t managed to hold.
This custody mechanism has been in place since 2017: at the beginning of each month, up to 1 billion can be unlocked, and in most months Ripple returns the bulk back to its original vault. The goal is to avoid dumping the whole batch into the market at once. After this latest move, about 31.845 billion XRP remain locked in the custody accounts—whether supply is loosening or tightening depends on this “net change,” not the headline “unlocked 1 billion.”
My take: the market is too used to shouting about sell pressure based on the total “unlocked 1 billion,” without factoring in the net added amount—the additional 300M (about $450M). Even this small loosening is unlikely to, by itself, flip the trend; the real driver is whether price can chew through the $1.59 level.
From a technical perspective, $1.54 to $1.59 is a clear supply zone. On Sep 23 it surged to $1.65, and on Sep 25 it hit $1.62—both times it got rejected, suggesting overhead trapped-supply isn’t light. Downside, $1.44 to $1.47 is the first support; if that breaks, the next levels are $1.39 and $1.29. Analysts treat $1.59 as the signal line: if daily or weekly candles close above it, there’s a chance to reach $1.75. If support breaks, the pullback could go deeper.⚠️
What to watch isn’t “how much gets unlocked,” but “how much net increases into circulation,” and whether $1.59 can actually be reclaimed and held.📈
Do you think XRP can stand above $1.59 this time, or will it dip back to $1.44 first? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Click the avatar to watch the live stream
Every day, I’ll keep you on top of XRP highlights—not just what happened in the news, but also the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀
👥 一起来群里抬杠
Ripple followed its old playbook and unlocked 1 billion XRP at the start of the month in four tranches (400M, 200M, 300M, 100M). But almost at the same time, it moved 700M of those—worth about $1.05 billion at the time—back into two new custodial agreements (400M + 300M).
In one sentence: the only amount that truly stayed outside custody and may enter circulation is 300M XRP. And XRP’s current price is hovering around $1.49—repeatedly testing the $1.54 to $1.59 zone, but it still hasn’t managed to hold.
This custody mechanism has been in place since 2017: at the beginning of each month, up to 1 billion can be unlocked, and in most months Ripple returns the bulk back to its original vault. The goal is to avoid dumping the whole batch into the market at once. After this latest move, about 31.845 billion XRP remain locked in the custody accounts—whether supply is loosening or tightening depends on this “net change,” not the headline “unlocked 1 billion.”
My take: the market is too used to shouting about sell pressure based on the total “unlocked 1 billion,” without factoring in the net added amount—the additional 300M (about $450M). Even this small loosening is unlikely to, by itself, flip the trend; the real driver is whether price can chew through the $1.59 level.
From a technical perspective, $1.54 to $1.59 is a clear supply zone. On Sep 23 it surged to $1.65, and on Sep 25 it hit $1.62—both times it got rejected, suggesting overhead trapped-supply isn’t light. Downside, $1.44 to $1.47 is the first support; if that breaks, the next levels are $1.39 and $1.29. Analysts treat $1.59 as the signal line: if daily or weekly candles close above it, there’s a chance to reach $1.75. If support breaks, the pullback could go deeper.⚠️
What to watch isn’t “how much gets unlocked,” but “how much net increases into circulation,” and whether $1.59 can actually be reclaimed and held.📈
Do you think XRP can stand above $1.59 this time, or will it dip back to $1.44 first? Let’s discuss in the comments.
Click the avatar to watch the live stream
Every day, I’ll keep you on top of XRP highlights—not just what happened in the news, but also the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀
