#比特币涨至8.65万美元后回落
Bitcoin is up 9% in a month and 40% in a quarter, yet at the $87,000 doorstep it has been stopped for the third time 🦖
📊 进群看每日策略
Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has pulled back by about 1.7%. But if you zoom out, the monthly trend is still up by roughly 9%, the third quarter has gained over 40%, and this dip is accompanied by expanding trading volume—not a slow bleed from people losing interest. The real variable comes from the macro picture: in the U.S., September nonfarm payrolls added only 29,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, a clear cooling signal. Last month, the Federal Reserve already raised rates to 3.75%–4.00%, and the probability of another hike in October has been pushed down by the market to about 17%.📉
But the price hasn’t surged upward in line with “waning rate-hike pressure.” The $85,000–$87,000 area has gradually transformed from a sporadic short-term roadblock into a steady ceiling. Bitcoin has probed the $87,000 line multiple times and still hasn’t produced a solid, effective breakout. Once this door is cleared and the market gets above it, attention will shift back to $90,000 and even higher, the $95,000–$100,000 range. If it can’t break through, then it will only keep grinding in place.
The bulls aren’t without ammunition. In Q3, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of about $6.34 billion, setting the highest quarterly record in 2026. In the same period, Bitcoin rose more than 40%. While there was a net outflow of nearly $149 million on September 30, it quickly reverted back to positive on October 1. The real hidden risk is on the holder side—short-term holders’ unrealized profits are approaching the highest level in nearly two years. As soon as the price pushes closer to the resistance zone again, selling pressure to lock in gains could show up at any time.⚠️
My take: this doesn’t look like the trend breaking down. It’s more like, “it’s up too fast, and nobody wants to buy at this price.” Institutional funds like ETFs are the hardest support in this leg—but their habit is to buy on pullbacks, not to do the work of breaking through for you. So the $85,000–$87,000 door essentially determines the short-term direction: if it breaks above, $90,000 is just the starting point; if it doesn’t, digesting floating profit through consolidation is the best-case script.
📈 Three things worth watching: the Federal Reserve’s next rate-meeting tone, ETF daily fund flows, and whether short-term holders have started accelerating their sell orders.
Do you think this move is a pullback before the breakout, or is the rebound already over? Let’s discuss in the comments. Click the avatar to watch the live stream.
Every day I’ll keep you on top of Bitcoin’s hot topics—more than just news, I’ll help you understand the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀
Bitcoin is up 9% in a month and 40% in a quarter, yet at the $87,000 doorstep it has been stopped for the third time 🦖
📊 进群看每日策略
Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has pulled back by about 1.7%. But if you zoom out, the monthly trend is still up by roughly 9%, the third quarter has gained over 40%, and this dip is accompanied by expanding trading volume—not a slow bleed from people losing interest. The real variable comes from the macro picture: in the U.S., September nonfarm payrolls added only 29,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, a clear cooling signal. Last month, the Federal Reserve already raised rates to 3.75%–4.00%, and the probability of another hike in October has been pushed down by the market to about 17%.📉
But the price hasn’t surged upward in line with “waning rate-hike pressure.” The $85,000–$87,000 area has gradually transformed from a sporadic short-term roadblock into a steady ceiling. Bitcoin has probed the $87,000 line multiple times and still hasn’t produced a solid, effective breakout. Once this door is cleared and the market gets above it, attention will shift back to $90,000 and even higher, the $95,000–$100,000 range. If it can’t break through, then it will only keep grinding in place.
The bulls aren’t without ammunition. In Q3, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of about $6.34 billion, setting the highest quarterly record in 2026. In the same period, Bitcoin rose more than 40%. While there was a net outflow of nearly $149 million on September 30, it quickly reverted back to positive on October 1. The real hidden risk is on the holder side—short-term holders’ unrealized profits are approaching the highest level in nearly two years. As soon as the price pushes closer to the resistance zone again, selling pressure to lock in gains could show up at any time.⚠️
My take: this doesn’t look like the trend breaking down. It’s more like, “it’s up too fast, and nobody wants to buy at this price.” Institutional funds like ETFs are the hardest support in this leg—but their habit is to buy on pullbacks, not to do the work of breaking through for you. So the $85,000–$87,000 door essentially determines the short-term direction: if it breaks above, $90,000 is just the starting point; if it doesn’t, digesting floating profit through consolidation is the best-case script.
📈 Three things worth watching: the Federal Reserve’s next rate-meeting tone, ETF daily fund flows, and whether short-term holders have started accelerating their sell orders.
Do you think this move is a pullback before the breakout, or is the rebound already over? Let’s discuss in the comments. Click the avatar to watch the live stream.
Every day I’ll keep you on top of Bitcoin’s hot topics—more than just news, I’ll help you understand the logic and opportunities behind it 👀🚀
