Did the Fed rate-hike probability collapse? Will the long-side holders of $BTC be laughing?
Just saw a tweet from AshCrypto: the Fed rate-hike probability dropped from 70% straight down to 13%.
This isn’t a small change—it’s a complete reversal in market expectations. Rate hikes are like draining liquidity from risk assets; now the probability is down to just over one-tenth, suggesting the market’s tight liquidity air has eased.
For $BTC , once liquidity expectations flip, sentiment is easier to ignite. AshCrypto directly called it ULTRA BULLISH—though that’s his view, the logic itself holds up: cooling rate-hike expectations, less pressure on the dollar, risk assets getting room to breathe. As a high-volatility product, $BTC often reacts first.
Of course, probability isn’t the same as the decision, and market sentiment can still swing back and forth. But for now, on this direction, I’m leaning long.
Watch $BTC —don’t wait until it’s already run up to believe it.
Just saw a tweet from AshCrypto: the Fed rate-hike probability dropped from 70% straight down to 13%.
This isn’t a small change—it’s a complete reversal in market expectations. Rate hikes are like draining liquidity from risk assets; now the probability is down to just over one-tenth, suggesting the market’s tight liquidity air has eased.
For $BTC , once liquidity expectations flip, sentiment is easier to ignite. AshCrypto directly called it ULTRA BULLISH—though that’s his view, the logic itself holds up: cooling rate-hike expectations, less pressure on the dollar, risk assets getting room to breathe. As a high-volatility product, $BTC often reacts first.
Of course, probability isn’t the same as the decision, and market sentiment can still swing back and forth. But for now, on this direction, I’m leaning long.
Watch $BTC —don’t wait until it’s already run up to believe it.
