幸运雨Rain

Accept flaws with gentleness, pursue ideals with resolve.
Accept flaws with gentleness, pursue ideals with resolve.
#比特币升至8.5万美元附近

The essence of trading is simply waiting for the flowers to bloom. When you’ve watched the order book and the candlestick charts long enough, you know where things will rise and where they’ll fall—everyone has that figured out. What’s hard is that most people just want the flowers to open immediately, to enter the market immediately, without the patience to wait for the season when they bloom. Their money either comes with a high price tag or ongoing costs, or it’s just waiting to pay rent and buy meals. So they can’t wait for the blooming season; they end up becoming fertilizer for the flowers too soon—turning into liquidity in the market itself and losing all their chips.

Received USDT Rewards Gift 🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🎁🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🎁🎁🎁🎁
1 follow me
2 like
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#Ether ETFs extend inflow streak today
#USStrikesTargetsNearHormuzAndJask

🚨 BITCOIN JUST BROKE $86K.

But this time, the real catalyst may not be crypto.

It may be:

29,000.

U.S. payrolls added just 29K jobs,
far below the 90K expected.

Markets immediately repriced:

📉 October hike odds → ~15%
📉 U.S. 10Y yield → ~5.17%
🛢️ Brent → ~$99
₿ BTC → above $86K, +3% in 24H

The logic is simple:

WEAKER JOBS
↓
LESS FED PRESSURE
↓
LOWER YIELDS
↓
MORE ROOM FOR RISK ASSETS

And here’s the interesting part:

U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded
a ~$92.9M net outflow on Oct. 1.

So:

ETF FLOW WAS NEGATIVE.

BTC STILL BROKE $86K.

That raises the real question:

IS MACRO TAKING CONTROL OF BTC AGAIN?

If yields keep falling
and oil stays around or below $100,

one of Bitcoin’s biggest macro headwinds
may finally be easing.

Now I’m watching:

₿ BTC holding $86K
📈 The ~$87K area
📉 U.S. 10Y yields
🏦 October Fed expectations
💰 The next BTC ETF flow

👇 Your take?

MACRO RELIEF KEEPS PUSHING BTC 🟢

or

BTC PULLS BACK NEAR $87K 🔴?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

A rain makes the old street’s pavement gleam. Beneath the towering buildings, the most ordinary life in the city is quietly tucked away. The sound of rain dulls the noise, and pedestrians slow their pace. Life doesn’t have to be hurried all the time—at this damp, quiet street corner, feel the gentle warmth of everyday life.

🧧🧧🧧🧧🎁🎁🎁🎁
🎁🎁🎁🎁🧧🧧🧧🧧

🌅 Dawn Breaks the First Page, with Mountains and Seas in Your Heart 🍃
Fluctuations in the market rise and fall—this is normal. No need to let short-term swings stir your emotions 📊
Deepen your understanding, let it settle within, and keep your own rhythm steady ✨
All the quiet accumulations will eventually turn into the confidence to move forward 💛
The road is long—go forth calmly with like-minded companions who share the same frequency 🌟

#交易心理

#比特币升至8.5万美元附近

#1688家族family

$BTC Interpretation of Non-Farm Payroll Data!!!

After the Non-Farm Payrolls came out, my biggest takeaway is that the Fed has even more compelling reasons to hold steady in October.

First, let’s look at a few key figures. Non-Farm Payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the expected 84,000. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. In addition, revisions over the previous two months total a downward adjustment of 60,000. In the interest rate swap market, traders now price the probability of a rate hike in October at just 17%. Even more striking, the Kalshi prediction market prices a higher chance of holding rates steady in October at 85%.

The CME FedWatch data change is also very straightforward— the probability of keeping rates unchanged in October rose from about 76% the previous day to 86%.

In fact, before the Non-Farm Payrolls were released, Fed officials had already been signaling this. New York Fed President Williams said there is “no need for urgency” around the next rate hike, and Vice Chair Jefferson also noted that policymakers need more time to observe the data. Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian commented as well that this set of data will further reinforce the impact of recent Fed officials’ remarks, and market expectations for an October rate hike are cooling.

However, keep in mind: this Non-Farm report only makes rate hikes feel “less urgent,” but it does not mean a policy turn. Inflation is still the Fed’s top concern. While the probability of no move in October is high, how things play out in December will depend on subsequent inflation data.

Go out and play during the holidays—main theme: happy, carefree, and soaring freely $SOL . But at 13:30, Tangbao will be waiting for you in the livestream room on time, okay?

☀️ CRYPTO MORNING BRIEF｜OCT 2

What happened overnight?

Here are 5 things to watch today 👇

₿ 1. BTC IS BACK ABOVE $84K

Bitcoin → ~$84.7K
24H → +1.23%

BTC bounced from roughly $83.1K
and briefly reached ~$85.2K.

💰 2. THE ETF INFLOW STREAK BLINKED

U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded roughly:

-$148.7M

on Sept. 30.

But the last 5 sessions are still about:

+$273.7M

So the real question is:

IS ETF DEMAND REALLY COOLING?

📈 3. TREASURY YIELDS REMAIN A HEADWIND

U.S. 10Y → ~5.29%

Bitcoin is recovering,

but 5%+ risk-free yields remain
a serious competitor for capital.

🏛️ 4. THE SEC JUST MOVED ON CRYPTO CUSTODY

The SEC proposed a new framework
for investment advisers and regulated funds
to custody crypto assets.

Another important step toward clearer
institutional crypto infrastructure.

👀 5. TODAY I’M WATCHING:

₿ BTC reclaiming $85K
💰 ETF flows
📈 U.S. Treasury yields
🏛️ SEC custody rules
⚡ ETH / BNB follow-through

The key tension today:

PRICE IS RECOVERING.

BUT ETF MOMENTUM JUST BLINKED.

👇 Does BTC reclaim $85K today?

YES 🟢 / NOT YET 🔴

#BTC #ETH #BNB

🧧🧧🧧2026.10.02 Recap of the Primary Market Yesterday｜Little Golden Dogs kept appearing, but it was all just a one-wave run.
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥【Attached 20U Red Packets 🧧】
There were many Little Golden Dogs yesterday, but I still got slaughtered.
1. First, Bull-and-Horse Life and Comeback Life were split heavily—sure enough, everything got dumped in the morning.
2. The suan (swap) swings back and forth a lot. The first wave of staking arbitrage opportunities made 50U. In the morning, the BEAD generated by staking had already fallen from 0.5 to 0.1, and the annualized rate was down too—no real upside.
3. The real vs. fake milk dragon—Nailong is still a pig-butchering scam. Every so often it fires off once, and if it can’t hold for an hour, it gets quickly dumped. Nailoong managed to hold the 2M level, but I don’t look good on it.
4. BI and Four are weak and powerless, especially Four—the old chart, old narrative, gets dumped.
5. SI on Sol: last night, a brother went in with 8M, and now it’s down to 2M. Not sure if they’ve run yet. Looking at it, the “super artificial intelligence” narrative is too clichéd.
6. Trump is hosting another dinner—apparently there are 3 mysterious guests. Could they be Sun Ge, Jing Tian, and the Liangxi General?
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
Using a Binance Wallet lets you enter an invite code in the invite-friends screen: CF1234. Save 30% on trading fees. Add me as a friend for an extra 10% personal subsidy 😉😉. If you don’t know how, go to the homepage chat room【Shitcoin King】 and ask.

$USD1 #韩国拟将股票债券纳入代币化证券
May our motherland prosper and be prosperous; may the Chinese nation’s heritage endure for generations. Happy National Day to everyone……

Back from the break—set your focus, and get ready to go again!
I can enjoy life gracefully, or throw myself wholeheartedly into building my career.
No panic, no rush, no retreat—be yourself, and live your own精彩!😊