易琳Ten

🚨 CZ Responds to SBF: If a single tweet could destroy a company, then it was never really a company!
Can one tweet really make a billion-dollar enterprise go bankrupt?
In the latest interview for 《When Shift Happens》, Binance founder CZ once again addressed the controversy surrounding the FTX collapse, pointing to a core issue:
If a competitor’s tweet is enough to bring down a company, then the problem may never have been with that tweet at all.
Regarding SBF’s claim that the FTX collapse was caused by CZ’s announcement to liquidate FTT back then, CZ said that when companies fail, there are often multiple contributing factors, and it’s not something that can be blamed on a single piece of social media commentary.
He also gave the example of an AI chip company:
Even if industry leaders publicly express negative views, a company’s stock price may fluctuate as a result, but as long as it has real products, real customers, and the ability to manage cash prudently, it won’t disappear because of just one tweet.
💡 These remarks by CZ are worth every entrepreneur and investor thinking about.
🔹 1. Market sentiment can trigger volatility, but fundamentals determine a company’s resilience
🔹 2. Liquidity is the most important line of defense for a company facing a crisis
🔹 3. Real business is the foundation for long-term development
🔹 4. Lessons from the FTX incident: don’t simply attribute operating risks to external factors
CZ believes that the problems at FTX were not just something that could be explained by market sentiment or a single tweet.
From an investor’s perspective, when evaluating a company, besides looking at the founder’s influence and market visibility, it’s also necessary to examine its financial transparency, capital management, risk controls, and governance mechanisms.
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Bitcoin’s October is almost here—and a massive surge may be imminent. I have to take action decisively!

I can’t find a single convincing reason to be bearish. The long-standing pattern in the crypto world is: a bull market lasts 3 years, and a bear market lasts 1 year. This bear cycle began last October and, as of now, it’s already nearing the end. After that, the bigger trend can only move upward—any pullbacks are opportunities to get on board. 
What’s more, October itself is a critical window in Bitcoin’s history for the restart of bull runs: past data shows that BTC’s average return rate and the median percentage increase in October are both close to 20%. If this time also repeats history, this cycle’s peak could very well reach as high as $95,000. 
The only potential downside I can find, strangely enough, looks more like the biggest potential upside: the Nasdaq has returned to its prior high range after half a year, and it’s now poised to break through. If U.S. stocks successfully open up more upside room and enter a new leg of the main rally, global risk assets—including the crypto market—will directly benefit. 
Of course, this is also the biggest risk: if the Nasdaq fails to complete the breakout and instead turns down to form a double-top structure, leading to a major pullback, the crypto market would inevitably be dragged down as well—this is the worst scenario we can currently foresee. 
But my personal judgment is that the probability of the U.S. stock market breaking upward this time is higher—after all, it’s been consolidating for nearly half a year, and the earlier profit-taking has already been digested relatively thoroughly, so the upward momentum is stronger. Therefore, after we successfully escaped the top at around $87,000 last Tuesday, I have already re-entered a portion of my position near $83,000. I will keep the remaining position to build the rest around the key support at $80,000 and put in place comprehensive risk hedging. 
For short-term trading, just keep doing range-based swings within ETH’s band: below the $2,750 resistance level—for example around $2,735—take profits on highs; above the $2,650 support level—for example around $2,670—buy back on dips. But one more reminder: the longer the market oscillates, the stronger the eventual one-way breakout power. After you earn profits from short-term swings, be sure to take them off the table in time.

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Short-term bias: bullish. Prices are rising alongside a rebound in open interest. Funding rates have risen to around 10% annualized, indicating that new leveraged long positions are covering from lower levels and supporting the market. However, the rate has only returned to the normal benchmark range rather than reaching extreme crowding levels, so this alone cannot be used to conclude that prices will definitely keep rising. During pullbacks, long liquidations are also likely to be triggered.

$BTC Buffett has a saying that roughly means: in one lifetime, if you get two things right in investing, you can become very wealthy. Most people lose badly—not because they aren’t hardworking, but because they love to be busy doing the wrong things: chasing whatever’s hot today, switching tracks tomorrow, treating investing like a casino. Buffett and Munger can go for years without buying anything at all; they simply read and think quietly. In their lives, they actually got two things right:

First, they found hard-core businesses that can stand the test of time. The simpler the structure, the better—ideally something essential, with monopolistic advantages, and tied to the lifeblood of national economy and people’s livelihoods. You don’t have to be especially smart; what matters is that the level of certainty is extremely high.

Second, after buying, they hold on tightly. Compounding gains build up slowly over time—like brewing wine. If you open the lid today to take a look, and then tomorrow lift it again to taste it, you’ll never brew good wine.

But most people want to sell when prices rise, get panicked and cut when prices fall, and stare at the charts every day—till they get more and more carried away, and end up handing over fees to the brokers for nothing. People who trade frequently often end up driving a Ferrari into the ditch and getting out on a bicycle. The ones who truly make big money in the market are never the fastest madmen, but the most patient hunters. The core difference between the rich and the poor isn’t who’s smarter—it’s who can endure better. Do fewer useless actions, stand in the right position, and calmly wait for compounding to explode.

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October 3rd, Uptober day three.
BTC is around 86,000, nearing the Q3 high of 87,300, with a clear sell-pressure wall above.
Two things happened this week that are worth mentioning separately.
First: Citi significantly raised its BTC price target.
Citigroup lifted its 12-month BTC target price from 82,000 to 113,000, citing increased crypto market activity, an improving macro backdrop, and continued ETF inflows. At the same time, it raised the Strategy (Saylor’s company) target price from $136 to $240.
One top-tier Wall Street firm didn’t raise its BTC target until after BTC had already risen 47% from 58,500—worth a quick jab. But more importantly, this target reflects a change in the long-term outlook on BTC within institutions. The old 82,000 target was set at the end of last year; the market has already moved beyond it. This upward revision is essentially an acknowledgment of reality and a formal endorsement of a bullish Q4.
Second: the prediction market cut the probability of hitting 100,000 in October from 85% to 13%.
At one point last week, the Polymarket contract for “BTC hitting 100,000 in October” was hovering near 85%—that was when market sentiment was at its highest. Then, as expectations for the September jobs report (nonfarm) warmed up, and the odds of a rate hike at the October FOMC stayed at 64%, the probability was quickly revised down to 13%.
Putting these two together shows the market’s true state right now: long-term bullish (Citi 113,000), short-term cautious (13% probability of 100,000 in October).
Today’s key is this nonfarm report.
If the data is soft (jobs growth below expectations, like July’s -23,000), the October rate-hike probability will cool again, giving BTC a chance to break above 87,300 and open up room from 90,000 to 95,000. If the data is strong (like August’s +162,000), upward pressure from October rate-hike expectations will rise again, and BTC will likely trade sideways in the 85,000–87,000 range in the short term, waiting for the next signal from CPI on October 14.
“Uptober”’s historical average gain is 18%, but among the 12 completed records in Q4, five have been negative. History is a reference, not a guarantee.
Today’s nonfarm data will determine whether Uptober’s first week can hold steady—soft data is a good start; strong data is “grind first, then see.”
Which side are you betting on? Tell me your view on today’s nonfarm report.
$BTC


#BTC

🏦 Community Banks Sue OCC Over Crypto Charters

⚖️ Lawsuit Against OCC
🔹 The ICBA has sued the U.S. OCC over national trust charters granted to crypto companies.
🔹 Community banks argue crypto firms receive bank-like credibility without the same requirements as traditional banks.

💰 What’s at Stake
🔹 Trust charters allow firms to manage customer assets and process transactions, but not take regular deposits or issue loans.
🔹 The OCC says its rules only clarify existing chartering powers.

📊 Growing Crypto Interest
🔹 The OCC received 40 bank-charter applications in about 18 months, including 23 tied to digital assets.
🔹 The lawsuit could influence how crypto firms access the U.S. banking system and affect future stablecoin regulation.

🏷️#CryptoBankingRegulation #OCCDigitalAssetCharters
#NationalTrustBanking #USCryptoRegulation