The nonfarm payrolls release value deviated seriously from expectations
and is extremely bearish for the U.S. dollar.
Although expectations for further rate hikes continue to be lowered,
being far below expectations instead makes the market worry whether an economic recession is impacting things.
After a modest spike higher, the market consolidates—possibly because the market has already priced in the positive move in advance over the past two days.
If macro factors don’t cause a breakout,
then be careful: a move that keeps trying but doesn’t achieve results.
and is extremely bearish for the U.S. dollar.
Although expectations for further rate hikes continue to be lowered,
being far below expectations instead makes the market worry whether an economic recession is impacting things.
After a modest spike higher, the market consolidates—possibly because the market has already priced in the positive move in advance over the past two days.
If macro factors don’t cause a breakout,
then be careful: a move that keeps trying but doesn’t achieve results.

