Now think about this: how many retail traders are already in the market?
Look at it from another angle: if Bitcoin fell back to $60,000 right now, would you buy? Would everyone else? Most people probably would. Some may disagree, thinking that even if it dropped to $60,000 or $50,000, they still wouldn’t dare buy. But we need to follow the logic: when big players push the price down, what are they trying to do? They’re buying as they drive the price down, aiming to scoop up the coins that panicked retail traders sell. They’re not trying to distribute their holdings—that happens when they push the price up. If they chose to push it down to $60,000 now, they wouldn’t shake out many coins, but they would cause a lot of retail traders to buy the dip. That would be counterproductive. That’s the logic. Does that mean it won’t fall to $60,000? Maybe it will. But if it breaks below $60,000, it won’t stop there. A huge black swan event could send it tumbling so far that you’d question everything. And if the price keeps rising from here, would retail traders dare to jump in? Most wouldn’t. The market tends to move against what most people expect. When the price keeps climbing and retail traders start shouting, “The bull run is here,” that’s when it’s reached a short-term peak.
All the drops we’re seeing now are liquidating long positions. Previous drops wiped out spot holders as well as long positions. So why has that changed? Before, retail traders were chasing the bull market near the top, and their coins needed to be shaken out. The situation has changed now: retail traders don’t have many coins left after being wiped out twice. They’re waiting for a drop so they can get back in.
So what should we do? Accumulate when the market falls: buy a little on small dips and more on big dips. If the price drops by more than 5,000, 10,000, or 15,000, increase your purchases accordingly. This refers to spot buying.
Look at it from another angle: if Bitcoin fell back to $60,000 right now, would you buy? Would everyone else? Most people probably would. Some may disagree, thinking that even if it dropped to $60,000 or $50,000, they still wouldn’t dare buy. But we need to follow the logic: when big players push the price down, what are they trying to do? They’re buying as they drive the price down, aiming to scoop up the coins that panicked retail traders sell. They’re not trying to distribute their holdings—that happens when they push the price up. If they chose to push it down to $60,000 now, they wouldn’t shake out many coins, but they would cause a lot of retail traders to buy the dip. That would be counterproductive. That’s the logic. Does that mean it won’t fall to $60,000? Maybe it will. But if it breaks below $60,000, it won’t stop there. A huge black swan event could send it tumbling so far that you’d question everything. And if the price keeps rising from here, would retail traders dare to jump in? Most wouldn’t. The market tends to move against what most people expect. When the price keeps climbing and retail traders start shouting, “The bull run is here,” that’s when it’s reached a short-term peak.
All the drops we’re seeing now are liquidating long positions. Previous drops wiped out spot holders as well as long positions. So why has that changed? Before, retail traders were chasing the bull market near the top, and their coins needed to be shaken out. The situation has changed now: retail traders don’t have many coins left after being wiped out twice. They’re waiting for a drop so they can get back in.
So what should we do? Accumulate when the market falls: buy a little on small dips and more on big dips. If the price drops by more than 5,000, 10,000, or 15,000, increase your purchases accordingly. This refers to spot buying.