The market is at a turning point. With only 4 days left until a decisive event/close on the macroeconomic calendar, volatility is about to spike. The key is not to get ahead of yourself without confirmation of a breakout or support across the three main assets.
📊 Asset-by-asset analysis
1. 🪙 Bitcoin ($BTC )
Current situation: Transitioning between accumulation ranges and key resistance zones.
Decisive level: Wait for the price to react in the higher supply zones before taking heavy positions.
Scenario: If the market digests volatility without losing structural support levels, the medium-term trend maintains a bullish bias.
2. 📈 S&P 500 (Traditional Market)
Correlation: Continues to set the tone for risk appetite (risk-on).
Levels to watch: Near prior highs / key resistance zones. A correction in the S&P 500 would temporarily pull cryptocurrencies down with it.
3. 🥇 Gold (XAU)
Behavior: Acting as a safe-haven asset amid macroeconomic and interest-rate uncertainty.
Reading: Its strength confirms that institutional investors continue to cover risks (hedging).
🛠️ Strategy and Action Plan
Strict risk management: Reduce leverage prior to the resolution of the next 4 days.
Confirmation on the forecast: Don’t enter the market out of impulse (FOMO); wait until key support or resistance levels are broken and then retested.
Patience: The real opportunity will emerge after the initial event-driven volatility in the macro release.