U.S. 10-year Treasury yields surged during the day to 5.34%, reaching the highest level since 2002. Even as inflation data shows mild signs of cooling, long-end borrowing costs refuse to back down, and the valuation discount anchors across cross-asset markets are undergoing a dramatic remapping not seen for years.

This rise in long-bond yields, combined with massive debt issuance pressure from the fiscal side, sticky disruptions driven by oil prices, and the huge financing scramble by tech giants expanding AI computing power and data centers, has led investors to aggressively bid up funding. When risk-free assets can reliably offer more than 5% annualized returns, equity markets and crypto assets must provide highly attractive risk premia in order to retain liquidity.

The cross-market transmission is extremely direct. Overvalued technology stocks and on-chain funds are clearly constrained by the upward move in discount rates, and the allocation logic for defensive capital also shifts toward long-end high-yield instruments and safe-haven assets such as gold. Before fiscal issuance pressure and macro liquidity balance are brought into equilibrium, closely watching when long-end rates show signs of a genuine topping that dulls is still the key window for assessing the rebound space of risk assets. #U.S. 10-year Treasury yield nears 5.3%