🇨🇳 Oct 2|Crypto Market Brief $BNB 📈 BTC reclaims $86K, the second day of Q4 continues to rebound
BTC is currently around $86.3K, briefly nearing $86.9K during the day; ETH is around $2.76K, SOL around $122.
Overall, the market has warmed up. Since the beginning of October, BTC has risen by about 3%. However, Treasury yields are still high, the dollar is strengthening, and macro pressure has not disappeared.
🔥 ETF inflows return as the core support
In September, the US spot BTC ETF recorded net inflows of about $2.65B, the second-strongest monthly performance since October 2025; ETH spot ETFs saw net inflows of about $832M in the same period.
On Oct 1, BTC ETFs again logged around $102.7M in net inflows, with the funds mainly flowing to BlackRock’s IBIT.
🏦 SEC: New framework for institutional crypto custody
The market is continuing to digest the SEC’s Crypto Custody proposal released yesterday.
Under the new scheme, qualified investment advisers and regulated funds may, under certain circumstances, self-custody crypto assets, and state-level trust companies may also be used as custodians.
However, note that this is still a Proposal—not the final rules. After the formal release, there will be a 60-day public comment period.
💰 Citi raises its BTC target to $113K
Citi raised its 12-month BTC target from $82K to $113K, and its ETH target from $2,240 to $3,028.
The report attributes the forecast adjustments mainly to ETF capital returning, higher activity in the crypto market, and an improving macro environment.
This is an institutional view, not a price guarantee.
⚡ The real test today: US Non-Farm Payrolls
US September NFP employment data will be released today.
The market previously expected an increase of about 90K jobs, with the unemployment rate staying at 4.1%. The employment report will directly affect how the market assesses the Fed’s interest-rate path for October.
Meanwhile, Core Lightning reminds users running older versions of nodes to upgrade as soon as possible—unupdated nodes are increasingly becoming targets of attacks.
📊 Market Snapshot
BTC ≈ $86.3K ETH ≈ $2.76K SOL ≈ $122 XRP ≈ $1.53 BTC Dominance ≈ 57% Fear & Greed ≈ 72 Market Cap ≈ $2.99T
🎯 On Day 2 of Q4, the market’s logic is changing:
ETF inflows are back in, the institutional regulatory framework continues to move forward, BTC has reclaimed $86K,
But what will truly determine today’s行情 is still US employment data.
If Non-Farm Payrolls give the market more room for rate cuts, $87K will become the key level again.
In her early years, an old lady had some spare money, so she bought a few pieces of gold in advance and hid them away.
Others thought she didn’t need to, and even mocked her: “Buying this so expensive now—there’ll be plenty of chances later.”
But she was thinking simply: money will keep growing, while truly scarce things won’t just increase out of thin air.
Many things look very expensive when you look at them from the present, but when you view them within the broader trend, they may only be the early stage of price discovery.
This principle also holds for Bitcoin.
The 21 million coin cap won’t change, while fiat money supply will always face long-term pressure to expand.
What really matters isn’t trying to guess the next candlestick, but understanding the long-term supply-and-demand logic.
What stings is this—if this trend continues, in the next bear market we may truly find it hard to see BTC again below $100,000.
So don’t always focus on buying at the lowest point. Understand the trend—it's more important than trying to predict the price.
🧧🎁🌹🧧🎁🌹 Brazilian state-owned energy giant Petrobras (Petrobras) has officially announced a partnership with the Cardano Foundation and Ledger Labs to test and develop two application programs on its blockchain to track the environmental benefits of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and low-carbon diesel. This initiative aims to leverage the transparency and revocation mechanism of the Cardano blockchain to address the troublesome issues of “double counting” and false environmental claims in traditional carbon management, supporting international aviation carbon offset and reduction plans (CORSIA) compliance and full lifecycle emission reporting. This marks a substantive step forward in the deployment of Web3 core technologies in the field of carbon asset management for traditional heavy industries.
🧧 Slowly discover that happiness is tucked away in small, fleeting moments. Let go of needless纠结 and anxiety, take care of your emotions, and find a sense of ease in ordinary life that belongs to you.$BNB
Keep improving yourself✨, starting with making progress a little every day💪. No flower starts out as a flower🌷.
Hard work is never wasted; all experiences will turn into the path beneath your feet🚶. Worldly experience is the confidence time gives you💛, every step shapes a better version of yourself🌟.
The essence of trading is simply waiting for the flowers to bloom. When you’ve watched the order book and the candlestick charts long enough, you know where things will rise and where they’ll fall—everyone has that figured out. What’s hard is that most people just want the flowers to open immediately, to enter the market immediately, without the patience to wait for the season when they bloom. Their money either comes with a high price tag or ongoing costs, or it’s just waiting to pay rent and buy meals. So they can’t wait for the blooming season; they end up becoming fertilizer for the flowers too soon—turning into liquidity in the market itself and losing all their chips.
The yellow check mark is officially back after 2 months today is a double win because of all of you.🎉
Two months is a long time to wait, but patience always pays off. Having the yellow check mark back today has me feeling pumped up and ready for what's next.⚡️🔥
Success is always better when it's shared. To celebrate today's incredible vibe, a reward is waiting for you all! Grab yours before it runs out.✨
Go claim your red packet now and celebrate with the family.🧧🎁
$ETH $BTC #Many people ask me about market conditions. To be honest, I really can’t find any reason to be bearish right now. There’s a rule that’s been circulating in the crypto world: bull runs last three years and bear markets last one. This bear market we’re in started last October, so the cycle is almost coming to an end.💥
Many people are still afraid of the price falling, but remember—when a bear market is nearing its end, any pullback isn’t a collapse; it’s an opportunity for you to get on board. The bigger trend can only be bullish from here on out. Every drop is a window to build your position in batches.🚨
Of course, you can’t be blindly optimistic either. Don’t go all-in. Even if the overall trend turns bullish, there will definitely be plenty of consolidation and “shakeout” in between. The big players will keep moving back and forth to harvest leveraged traders repeatedly. Never take on extremely high leverage to hold a position. If a sudden negative catalyst hits, you can easily get liquidated.🔥#
The transition from bull to bear (and vice versa) won’t happen overnight. It’s not like once a bear market ends, prices will just surge nonstop. Hold your coins patiently—don’t let yourself get shaken out by short-term fluctuations. When the market moves, hold steady. When opportunities drop low enough to buy, have the courage to lay out your plan and stick to your own position limits.💥
The market always has uncertainty. No market prediction is 100% accurate. You must control how much capital you投入 and only participate with money you can afford to lose. Be mentally prepared for potential losses.💥#美国10年期美债收益率逼近5.3% #美元指数创2025年5月来新高
🎙️ 📢📢📢
Butterfly🦋C group
The foundation has been laid, hundreds of ironclad troops have reached a high level of consensus, and the takeoff mode is now on.🚀🚀🚀