📊 $BTC | CHECK DA TARDE (17:30)
WHAT CHANGED since 10:00
In the morning, $BTC was defending the 20-period average ($83.971). The defense failed: the price slipped to $82.950 (-1.2% since 10:00), now BELOW both moving averages (20-MA: $83.986 / 50-MA: $84.530). RSI-14 rose from 39.2 to 49.6 — neutral, still no hurry from buyers.
VERDICT: morning thesis ON HOLD, leaning toward the bearish scenario. Scenario A (defense + rotation to $84.4k) was invalidated; Scenario B has not been confirmed yet — a 4H candle close below $82.563 is needed.
LEVELS NOW
Resistances: $83.986 (20-MA) → $84.530 (50-MA) → $84.564 (24h high)
Supports: $82.776 (24h low) → $82.563 (Scenario B trigger) → $80.850 (weekly low)
UPDATED SCENARIOS
↗️ Reclaims and closes 4H above $83.986: reopens the top game ($84.5–84.6k).
↘️ Loses $82.563 with a 4H candle close: sell pressure points to the weekly low of $80.850.
WHAT TO WATCH UNTIL THE CLOSE
The 4H candle close near $82.776. Only candle closes matter — wicks confirm nothing.
RISK
Selling pressure near the day’s low. Don’t anticipate the breakout with excessive positioning; risk management first.
#Bitcoin #CriptoVisao
WHAT CHANGED since 10:00
In the morning, $BTC was defending the 20-period average ($83.971). The defense failed: the price slipped to $82.950 (-1.2% since 10:00), now BELOW both moving averages (20-MA: $83.986 / 50-MA: $84.530). RSI-14 rose from 39.2 to 49.6 — neutral, still no hurry from buyers.
VERDICT: morning thesis ON HOLD, leaning toward the bearish scenario. Scenario A (defense + rotation to $84.4k) was invalidated; Scenario B has not been confirmed yet — a 4H candle close below $82.563 is needed.
LEVELS NOW
Resistances: $83.986 (20-MA) → $84.530 (50-MA) → $84.564 (24h high)
Supports: $82.776 (24h low) → $82.563 (Scenario B trigger) → $80.850 (weekly low)
UPDATED SCENARIOS
↗️ Reclaims and closes 4H above $83.986: reopens the top game ($84.5–84.6k).
↘️ Loses $82.563 with a 4H candle close: sell pressure points to the weekly low of $80.850.
WHAT TO WATCH UNTIL THE CLOSE
The 4H candle close near $82.776. Only candle closes matter — wicks confirm nothing.
RISK
Selling pressure near the day’s low. Don’t anticipate the breakout with excessive positioning; risk management first.
#Bitcoin #CriptoVisao
