$AIOT rose 16.74% and surged to #3 on the gainers list. The long/short account ratio is 2.9968, but the large holders’ position ratio is only 1.4609—retail traders are crowding into longs, while the big players aren’t following. Uncle-zi isn’t chasing this price; he just waits around 0.062 for a pullback to get bought back into. If the 4-hour EMA25 (0.0573) gets smashed through, I’ll admit defeat.
I’m not waiting at the current price because the funding rate is +0.0303% (positive): longs are paying shorts. When the long/short ratio is close to 3 and small positions are almost one-sidedly long, once the price turns, the first ones to let go will definitely be the paid crowd. The large holders’ position ratio at 1.46 isn’t low, but it isn’t as extreme as retail—when both sides fight, I’ll stand by and wait for confirmation.
The trend itself isn’t broken. The 4-hour EMA5 at 0.0645 is above EMA25 at 0.0573, and EMA25 is above EMA60 at 0.0523. On the daily chart, EMA5 is also pressing above EMA25—this is a standard bullish alignment. The problem is it moved too fast: the 4-hour RSI7 is already 94, and the daily RSI is 95.7. If you chase in here, there’s basically nowhere to place a stop-loss.
BTC is -0.75%, and the whole market is -4.45%. Yet it’s up +16.74% on its own—independence is independence, but during the tide pullback there’s no big market to prop it up, so the retracement will be more direct. That’s why I’m not buying here. OI 7M versus 36M cap—leverage isn’t outrageous. If the direction is wrong, the speed won’t be slow either.
📊 Direction: wait for a pullback, then go long
💰 Entry reference: around 0.062; enter only if the pullback doesn’t break and shows support/absorption
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.055; if the 4-hour EMA25 (0.0573) is confirmed broken, I’ll acknowledge the mistake and exit
🎯 Take-profit 1: 0.075; the first extension after the prior high once it stands above 0.07
🎯 Take-profit 2: 0.08; above there are no historical trapped positions—treat it as an integer level
Longs being crowded doesn’t guarantee a drop, but retracements won’t come slowly.
Will you buy after the pullback and support at 0.062, pushing higher? Or do you chase after it at 0.07—then longs will be the first to loosen their grip? Pick one.
$AIOT #技术分析 #Uncle-zi
No matter how I arrange my position, I’ve already put it out on the Binance copy-trading lead page. If you want to follow, go in and take a look yourself—don’t say I hid it after the fact.
Click my homepage to follow immediately
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968
I’m not waiting at the current price because the funding rate is +0.0303% (positive): longs are paying shorts. When the long/short ratio is close to 3 and small positions are almost one-sidedly long, once the price turns, the first ones to let go will definitely be the paid crowd. The large holders’ position ratio at 1.46 isn’t low, but it isn’t as extreme as retail—when both sides fight, I’ll stand by and wait for confirmation.
The trend itself isn’t broken. The 4-hour EMA5 at 0.0645 is above EMA25 at 0.0573, and EMA25 is above EMA60 at 0.0523. On the daily chart, EMA5 is also pressing above EMA25—this is a standard bullish alignment. The problem is it moved too fast: the 4-hour RSI7 is already 94, and the daily RSI is 95.7. If you chase in here, there’s basically nowhere to place a stop-loss.
BTC is -0.75%, and the whole market is -4.45%. Yet it’s up +16.74% on its own—independence is independence, but during the tide pullback there’s no big market to prop it up, so the retracement will be more direct. That’s why I’m not buying here. OI 7M versus 36M cap—leverage isn’t outrageous. If the direction is wrong, the speed won’t be slow either.
📊 Direction: wait for a pullback, then go long
💰 Entry reference: around 0.062; enter only if the pullback doesn’t break and shows support/absorption
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.055; if the 4-hour EMA25 (0.0573) is confirmed broken, I’ll acknowledge the mistake and exit
🎯 Take-profit 1: 0.075; the first extension after the prior high once it stands above 0.07
🎯 Take-profit 2: 0.08; above there are no historical trapped positions—treat it as an integer level
Longs being crowded doesn’t guarantee a drop, but retracements won’t come slowly.
Will you buy after the pullback and support at 0.062, pushing higher? Or do you chase after it at 0.07—then longs will be the first to loosen their grip? Pick one.
$AIOT #技术分析 #Uncle-zi
No matter how I arrange my position, I’ve already put it out on the Binance copy-trading lead page. If you want to follow, go in and take a look yourself—don’t say I hid it after the fact.
Click my homepage to follow immediately
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968
