This week (9.21-9.25) trading ideas delivered a perfect finish. The overall directional accuracy rate was 100%. Profits were captured on 4 out of 5 trading days. “Big Pie” cumulatively captured nearly 9,000 points of upside potential; “Auntie” kept pace as well—everything key logic was fully realized.
Weekly market backdrop: In the first half of the week, continuous large inflows into U.S. spot ETFs plus a concentrated liquidation of shorts pushed the bulls into repeated offensives, breaking through $87,000 and setting an 8-month high. In the second half, as U.S. Treasury yields surged to a 19-year high and ETF inflow momentum slowed, bull momentum started to fade and high-level pullbacks began. The key bull-bear switch point was something we correctly stepped on.
Monday (9.21) low-long idea: Perfectly captured the first wave of the rebound
Market logic: Last week’s pullback found strong support around $80,000. Daily net ETF inflows were nearly $1 billion. Short-sellers were forced out through liquidation, driving a bull counterattack and confirming $80,000 below as a transitional bottom.
Big Pie range: 80822-85332, total rally of 4500+ points
Auntie range: 2645-2746, synchronized advance of 100+ points
Tuesday (9.22) low-long idea: Ride the trend and fully eat the tail-end space
Market logic: The uptrend wasn’t broken. With the inertia of funds pushing prices to break above $86,000, we followed the move with a low-long.
Big Pie range: 85070-86342, total advance of 1200+ points
Auntie range: 2714-2755, synchronized advance of 40+ points
Wednesday (9.23) high-short idea: Perfectly escaped the top and flipped to short
Market logic: After Big Pie touched the 87,374 high, bull momentum clearly weakened. Treasury yields jumped and suppressed risk assets—so we decisively switched to the high-short idea.
Big Pie range: 85937-84216, total decline of 1700+ points
Auntie range: 2738-2653, synchronized decline of 80+ points
Thursday (9.24) high-short idea: Pullback continuation
Market logic: ETF inflows fell for 3 consecutive days, down 81%. Bulls lacked the strength to break through the $85,000 miner-cost pressure level, and sell pressure kept releasing at higher levels.
Big Pie entry range: 84931-83333, total decline of 1500+ points
Auntie range: 2698-2643, total decline of 50+ points
Friday (9.25) high-short idea: The direction was right—unfortunately shaken out
Market logic: The structure of the pullback from high levels didn’t change. This should have been a continuation day for high-short positions, but we underestimated the strength of the rally as traders positioned ahead of the weekend. The stop-loss level provided in the strategy was too tight, so we were swept out by a short-term fake breakout—really regrettable.
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