$ARK The most dangerous spot is just ahead of $0.25: in the next 4 hours and the daily moving averages are both bullish and diverging, but I’m not chasing this sudden spike—I'll wait for a run-up and rejection near $0.245 to consider a short; if price breaks and holds above $0.25, I’ll admit I’m wrong and exit.
The trend is indeed strong. The current price is $0.2342, far above the 4-hour EMA5 at $0.2203, and the daily RSI(7) is also at 89.9. But this isn’t a “will drop immediately” signal—it’s more like the safety cushion for chasing longs is getting thinner. Over the last 3 candles, 4-hour volatility is 10.4%. Right now, grabbing the direction is likely to get you thrown off the train first.
The sentiment isn’t comfortable either: the 24-hour funding rate is positive, meaning longs are paying. The long/short ratio for the account is 0.6892—overall the account is leaning bearish—while the large holders’ positioning ratio is 1.0341, slightly bullish. Both sides aren’t on the same page. OI is about 41% of market cap, so it’s not a light leverage game. My plan is to wait until price moves close to $0.245, then short after a spike that fails (a high-then-reversal). If it doesn’t show pressure, I won’t trade.
$BTC 24 The 1-hour move is down 0.82%, but $ARK has surged strongly—this suggests relative strength in the short term. However, when the broader market isn’t supporting, pullbacks can get even harsher. The contract has been listed for 1101 days, so it’s not a fresh-coin liquidity story. This wave should focus on price confirmation. Short reference: $0.245; stop loss: $0.251; take profit: $0.2203 at the 4-hour EMA5, then watch $0.1834 at the EMA25.
You can respect strength, but you can’t discount the odds.
Are you seeing it reject and fall if it pressures at $0.245, or keep strengthening after moving above $0.25? Pick one.
$ARK #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve
$ARK I’ll keep monitoring this move continuously. If you want to follow along with my live trading logic, come check the copy-trading on the Binance homepage.
Click my profile to start copying
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968
The trend is indeed strong. The current price is $0.2342, far above the 4-hour EMA5 at $0.2203, and the daily RSI(7) is also at 89.9. But this isn’t a “will drop immediately” signal—it’s more like the safety cushion for chasing longs is getting thinner. Over the last 3 candles, 4-hour volatility is 10.4%. Right now, grabbing the direction is likely to get you thrown off the train first.
The sentiment isn’t comfortable either: the 24-hour funding rate is positive, meaning longs are paying. The long/short ratio for the account is 0.6892—overall the account is leaning bearish—while the large holders’ positioning ratio is 1.0341, slightly bullish. Both sides aren’t on the same page. OI is about 41% of market cap, so it’s not a light leverage game. My plan is to wait until price moves close to $0.245, then short after a spike that fails (a high-then-reversal). If it doesn’t show pressure, I won’t trade.
$BTC 24 The 1-hour move is down 0.82%, but $ARK has surged strongly—this suggests relative strength in the short term. However, when the broader market isn’t supporting, pullbacks can get even harsher. The contract has been listed for 1101 days, so it’s not a fresh-coin liquidity story. This wave should focus on price confirmation. Short reference: $0.245; stop loss: $0.251; take profit: $0.2203 at the 4-hour EMA5, then watch $0.1834 at the EMA25.
You can respect strength, but you can’t discount the odds.
Are you seeing it reject and fall if it pressures at $0.245, or keep strengthening after moving above $0.25? Pick one.
$ARK #技术分析 #Uncle Twelve
$ARK I’ll keep monitoring this move continuously. If you want to follow along with my live trading logic, come check the copy-trading on the Binance homepage.
Click my profile to start copying
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/copy-trading/lead-details/5051200019981811968
