₿ BITCOIN — September 25, 2026
📍 Price: ~$84 300–84 700
📉 24h: -0.1–0.4%, pullback from $87 397 (Sept 22 peak) — highest in 8 months
⚔️ Trigger: CME FedWatch — the probability of a rate hike in October rose to 75%
📊 WHAT’S IMPORTANT
• BTC ETF: September 24 +$347M, 5th consecutive day of inflows; +$2.65B for the week
• Record: September 21 +$999M — highest in 11 months (BlackRock IBIT +$381M)
• ETFs fully recouped the 2026 outflows: +$4.6B since August 19
• JP Morgan: average mining cost — $85,000, the key level for miners
⚖️ LEVELS
🟢 Support: $84,000–84,500 (key) → $83,167 (lower Bollinger Band) → $77,500
🔴 Resistance: $85,000 → $86,000–87,216 (upper Bollinger Band) → $96,700 (MVRV)
💬 SENTIMENT
Fear & Greed Index: 71–73 (“greed”). BTC is consolidating after the rally. Glassnode: $96,700 — the next target if $84,000 holds. RSI 55, MACD death cross — a retest of the 50-day MA is possible.
⚠️ RISKS
• CME FedWatch: 75% for a rate hike in October, 59% — in December
• FOMC September 16: rate raised to 3.75–4.00%, first hike since 2023
• $84,000 — critical support; if it breaks, the target is $77,500
• CLARITY Act rejected by the Senate (49-50) — regulatory uncertainty
• Liquidations in 24h: $348M (longs — $271M)
⚠️ Not financial advice. $BTC
📍 Price: ~$84 300–84 700
📉 24h: -0.1–0.4%, pullback from $87 397 (Sept 22 peak) — highest in 8 months
⚔️ Trigger: CME FedWatch — the probability of a rate hike in October rose to 75%
📊 WHAT’S IMPORTANT
• BTC ETF: September 24 +$347M, 5th consecutive day of inflows; +$2.65B for the week
• Record: September 21 +$999M — highest in 11 months (BlackRock IBIT +$381M)
• ETFs fully recouped the 2026 outflows: +$4.6B since August 19
• JP Morgan: average mining cost — $85,000, the key level for miners
⚖️ LEVELS
🟢 Support: $84,000–84,500 (key) → $83,167 (lower Bollinger Band) → $77,500
🔴 Resistance: $85,000 → $86,000–87,216 (upper Bollinger Band) → $96,700 (MVRV)
💬 SENTIMENT
Fear & Greed Index: 71–73 (“greed”). BTC is consolidating after the rally. Glassnode: $96,700 — the next target if $84,000 holds. RSI 55, MACD death cross — a retest of the 50-day MA is possible.
⚠️ RISKS
• CME FedWatch: 75% for a rate hike in October, 59% — in December
• FOMC September 16: rate raised to 3.75–4.00%, first hike since 2023
• $84,000 — critical support; if it breaks, the target is $77,500
• CLARITY Act rejected by the Senate (49-50) — regulatory uncertainty
• Liquidations in 24h: $348M (longs — $271M)
⚠️ Not financial advice. $BTC
