Citi’s latest Bitcoin discussion is more interesting than the usual “institutions are coming” headline.

Dirk Willer and Alex Saunders basically asked a simple question: how is Bitcoin still holding up after a hawkish Fed and the CLARITY Act failing to get enough votes for cloture?

And honestly, that’s the part I keep coming back to.

Citi says they previously had trouble separating Bitcoin’s move between the debasement trade and regulatory optimism. Now they see a little more evidence for the regulation side. Despite the CLARITY Act setback, they point to new rules and expected SEC rulemaking as factors generating more interest.

But there’s another layer here.

Citi also describes crypto as highly reflexive and sentiment-driven. Bitcoin is trading above its 200-day and other moving averages, which means trend-following can start reinforcing the move. So this may not be a simple story of institutions suddenly changing their minds about Bitcoin.

It could be a feedback loop: regulatory progress improves confidence, price strengthens, trend signals turn positive, and that attracts another wave of capital.

Wait — maybe that’s the more important shift to watch in 2026. Not just whether institutions buy Bitcoin, but what actually triggers them to increase exposure.

Still trying to figure out how durable that feedback loop is.

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