📰 Why did XRPL BatchV1_1 activation reach a critical point? 30 supporting nodes are not enough
The activation date for the XRPL network upgrade BatchV1_1 has been forced into a “conditional” status. On September 22, out of 35 trusted validators, 30 agreed to activate it at 14:06:41 UTC on September 29, but the network must maintain an 80%+ support rate within two weeks. This means that even if most validators agree, if the number of “no” votes suddenly rises, this upgrade could be temporarily cancelled. For ordinary users, the impact is minimal, but older-version nodes may become incompatible in the future.
Why is this news important?
The key contradiction lies in XRPL’s governance model, which differs from Ethereum and others. Its upgrade requires at least 75% validator approval, but actual execution depends on a supermajority (80%+) maintaining support for two weeks. This reflects the fragility of decentralized governance—instability among a small number of nodes can effectively hijack the majority’s will. The 30/35 support rate (86%) appears solid, but XRPL has faced controversies in the past due to fluctuations in similar voting ratios; for example, in 2020, a proposed upgrade was postponed because the number of “no” votes increased.
Market impact
Currently, the XRP price has surged 7.65% in the past 24 hours, while BTC/ETH remain stable. Theoretically, this is neutral for the overall market, but it also means increased uncertainty around upgrades to the XRP ecosystem. If the upgrade is delayed, developers and users may move toward more certain blockchains with faster iteration cycles, such as Cosmos or Solana. Historically, failed on-chain protocol upgrades (e.g., Ethereum Classic) tend to put short-term pressure on tokens, but XRPL’s mechanism is special—more likely to cause division within the developer community rather than a price collapse.
Trading/response approach
💡 This suggests that in the short term, XRPL could enter a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. If XRP holds above $1.6 for two weeks with a support rate of over 80%, that’s a bullish signal; if it falls below 80% or the activation is delayed, be alert to risks. But the condition for failure is: if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) soon releases new policies for validator regulation, XRPL’s governance system could fail as a whole.
【Judgment with failure conditions】If a new regulatory shock occurs within the next two weeks, this judgment becomes invalid
【Proactive disclosure of position】This article is not sponsored by any project. The author does not hold any of the assets mentioned
【Source note】According to Binance Square
⚠️ This does not constitute investment advice; predictions are for reference only
$XRP $ETH
The activation date for the XRPL network upgrade BatchV1_1 has been forced into a “conditional” status. On September 22, out of 35 trusted validators, 30 agreed to activate it at 14:06:41 UTC on September 29, but the network must maintain an 80%+ support rate within two weeks. This means that even if most validators agree, if the number of “no” votes suddenly rises, this upgrade could be temporarily cancelled. For ordinary users, the impact is minimal, but older-version nodes may become incompatible in the future.
Why is this news important?
The key contradiction lies in XRPL’s governance model, which differs from Ethereum and others. Its upgrade requires at least 75% validator approval, but actual execution depends on a supermajority (80%+) maintaining support for two weeks. This reflects the fragility of decentralized governance—instability among a small number of nodes can effectively hijack the majority’s will. The 30/35 support rate (86%) appears solid, but XRPL has faced controversies in the past due to fluctuations in similar voting ratios; for example, in 2020, a proposed upgrade was postponed because the number of “no” votes increased.
Market impact
Currently, the XRP price has surged 7.65% in the past 24 hours, while BTC/ETH remain stable. Theoretically, this is neutral for the overall market, but it also means increased uncertainty around upgrades to the XRP ecosystem. If the upgrade is delayed, developers and users may move toward more certain blockchains with faster iteration cycles, such as Cosmos or Solana. Historically, failed on-chain protocol upgrades (e.g., Ethereum Classic) tend to put short-term pressure on tokens, but XRPL’s mechanism is special—more likely to cause division within the developer community rather than a price collapse.
Trading/response approach
💡 This suggests that in the short term, XRPL could enter a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. If XRP holds above $1.6 for two weeks with a support rate of over 80%, that’s a bullish signal; if it falls below 80% or the activation is delayed, be alert to risks. But the condition for failure is: if the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) soon releases new policies for validator regulation, XRPL’s governance system could fail as a whole.
【Judgment with failure conditions】If a new regulatory shock occurs within the next two weeks, this judgment becomes invalid
【Proactive disclosure of position】This article is not sponsored by any project. The author does not hold any of the assets mentioned
【Source note】According to Binance Square
⚠️ This does not constitute investment advice; predictions are for reference only
$XRP $ETH
