As fake coins’ collective rebound kicks in, starting from 80,700, how much safe upside is left in this cycle?
This is a question everyone is concerned about—especially those who missed the move. I believe this rally has already moved past the initial rebound phase and entered a breakout acceleration and capital diffusion stage. There’s currently no clear sell-off top signal, but the most comfortable low-entry zone has already passed.
At present, we’re roughly at the third step of the entire rebound:
First step: panic liquidation in the 58,000–67,000 range. The market doesn’t believe in the bottom, yet chips are quietly rotating at low levels.
Second step: trend repair from 63,000–82,000. Bitcoin reclaims the medium- and long-term moving averages; shorts cover, but most people still treat the rise as a bear-market dead-cat bounce.
Third step: from 75,000–87,000 right now, sidelined capital starts chasing higher. Once BTC stabilizes at the high end, capital keeps flowing into ETH, SOL, and other altcoins. The money-making effect is clearly heating up.
But the third step can lead either to the main surge or to a local top.
If BTC breaks out above 88,000 with volume, and then pulls back to 85,000 without breaking it, then we can say it has entered the fourth step; afterward, the market will challenge 90,000–100,000.
The fact that altcoins are collectively catching up suggests risk appetite is spreading. However, BTC’s dominance is still close to 59%, which is more like capital overflow after a breakout rather than something that can be directly defined as a full-blown altcoin season.
Next, we only need to watch a few levels:
Hold 83,000–84,000 (USD), and we’ll continue to look for 89,000–92,000;
If it falls back to 80,000–82,000, it would indicate that the breakout momentum is starting to weaken.
My strategy remains unchanged: I’ll keep a bullish bias as long as the trend continues. There’s no longer good value at the current level. For execution, I’m more inclined to take short-term trades—quick in and quick out.
This is a question everyone is concerned about—especially those who missed the move. I believe this rally has already moved past the initial rebound phase and entered a breakout acceleration and capital diffusion stage. There’s currently no clear sell-off top signal, but the most comfortable low-entry zone has already passed.
At present, we’re roughly at the third step of the entire rebound:
First step: panic liquidation in the 58,000–67,000 range. The market doesn’t believe in the bottom, yet chips are quietly rotating at low levels.
Second step: trend repair from 63,000–82,000. Bitcoin reclaims the medium- and long-term moving averages; shorts cover, but most people still treat the rise as a bear-market dead-cat bounce.
Third step: from 75,000–87,000 right now, sidelined capital starts chasing higher. Once BTC stabilizes at the high end, capital keeps flowing into ETH, SOL, and other altcoins. The money-making effect is clearly heating up.
But the third step can lead either to the main surge or to a local top.
If BTC breaks out above 88,000 with volume, and then pulls back to 85,000 without breaking it, then we can say it has entered the fourth step; afterward, the market will challenge 90,000–100,000.
The fact that altcoins are collectively catching up suggests risk appetite is spreading. However, BTC’s dominance is still close to 59%, which is more like capital overflow after a breakout rather than something that can be directly defined as a full-blown altcoin season.
Next, we only need to watch a few levels:
Hold 83,000–84,000 (USD), and we’ll continue to look for 89,000–92,000;
If it falls back to 80,000–82,000, it would indicate that the breakout momentum is starting to weaken.
My strategy remains unchanged: I’ll keep a bullish bias as long as the trend continues. There’s no longer good value at the current level. For execution, I’m more inclined to take short-term trades—quick in and quick out.
