$INTW 24 hours in, it has risen 9.31%, and the current price is 31.7, with trading volume of $37.56 million. This rally has been pretty good, but funding is still 0, meaning neither longs nor shorts are paying funding, and market sentiment hasn’t gone off track.
The bullish case is simple: price up + neutral funding means this is not a hard push by longs chasing higher prices; it may be short covering or new capital entering. Open interest is at 100,000 contracts, so positions are still there and haven’t been unwound. If Trump posts something positive for U.S. stocks, or if geopolitical tensions ease, the TradFi sector could use that momentum for another push.
But the counterargument is also strong: funding being zero means no one is bearing the carry cost, so the rally lacks squeeze-driven momentum. If Trump’s tariff policy tanks the market, or if the broader U.S. stock market turns weak, $INTW could pull back directly. If the price falls below 30.5, this whole thesis is invalid, and I’d need to take the loss and exit.
I’m preparing to try a long. Direction: long. Leverage: 5x. Stop loss: 30.0. Take profit: 35.0. Position size: 10% of total capital. The trigger condition is to add to the position if the price holds above 32.0, and fully exit if it falls below 30.5. Keep a close eye on political events, especially Trump’s statements, and adjust the parameters as soon as anything changes.
Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #INTW
What do you think is the most likely flaw in this reasoning?
The bullish case is simple: price up + neutral funding means this is not a hard push by longs chasing higher prices; it may be short covering or new capital entering. Open interest is at 100,000 contracts, so positions are still there and haven’t been unwound. If Trump posts something positive for U.S. stocks, or if geopolitical tensions ease, the TradFi sector could use that momentum for another push.
But the counterargument is also strong: funding being zero means no one is bearing the carry cost, so the rally lacks squeeze-driven momentum. If Trump’s tariff policy tanks the market, or if the broader U.S. stock market turns weak, $INTW could pull back directly. If the price falls below 30.5, this whole thesis is invalid, and I’d need to take the loss and exit.
I’m preparing to try a long. Direction: long. Leverage: 5x. Stop loss: 30.0. Take profit: 35.0. Position size: 10% of total capital. The trigger condition is to add to the position if the price holds above 32.0, and fully exit if it falls below 30.5. Keep a close eye on political events, especially Trump’s statements, and adjust the parameters as soon as anything changes.
Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #INTW
What do you think is the most likely flaw in this reasoning?