$TQQQ rose 7.157% over the past 24 hours to 79.05, while the funding rate remains at 0. Open interest stands at 230,000 lots.

Driven by political and military events, the rally in leveraged ETFs was not accompanied by any change in the funding rate. In the derivatives market, long–short positioning is balanced; there is no additional premium for pricing geopolitical risk, and spot buying dominates.

If the price pulls back to around 78.3, I plan to initiate a long position with a 5% allocation, with a stop-loss set at 77.5. If it breaks below this level, the bullish thesis is expected to fail in the short term. The strongest counterargument is that an escalation of geopolitical conflict could tighten liquidity and cause the ETF to fall sharply as well.

Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #TQQQ

Where do you think this assessment is most likely to be wrong?