📈 The broad market is surging hard—can it really be only because the “bad news has been fully digested”?
But I think we can’t just look at this one point. What’s more worth paying attention to is: price structure, fund flows, and changes in market selling pressure.
$BTC has moved back above the 50-week moving average. In the historical data, after recapturing this line, many times it means the market’s weakest phase may have already passed.
At the same time, recently BTC spot ETFs have seen renewed inflows, and the selling pace from long-term holders has also clearly slowed.
In short: Selling pressure is weakening, and buyers are starting to take the initiative again. So right now I’m actually not very willing to short directly on Monday.
So how should we look at this week?
My idea is very simple: Don’t rush to short on Monday—wait for trend confirmation on Tuesday and Wednesday. For BTC support, I’m mainly watching around the 79K area. As long as after a pullback it can hold, the strong structure hasn’t been broken.
On the upside, I’m watching the resistance zone at 82K—83K. If it can break through effectively and hold above it, the market may continue seeking room toward higher levels.
So don’t, just because it’s already risen a lot, immediately guess the top.
Rising a lot doesn’t mean it’s going to drop right away.
$ETH is the same as well. The second coin (二饼) has returned to around 2700. On top, the key focus is the 2700—2800 region.
Because a bull market doesn’t rise in a straight line every day. In a real uptrend, there will definitely be pullbacks in between.
It might rally high and then fall back, or it might suddenly wick upward to wash out the chasing long positions.
So my approach is still: First look for longs → hit the resistance zone → guard against a shakeout → pullback and confirm. If the structure hasn’t broken, then we look at the next leg.
So what I want to say right now is just one sentence: Wait for shorts. It’s not that there’s no chance to short—it's that we’re not at the level where I want to short yet.
If BTC and ETH continue to hold key support, it means the bulls are still in control. Wait until you reach the big resistance overhead and see a clear stall and a volume-backed pullback—then observe the short opportunity.
Trading isn’t about starting to guess the top just because it’s gone up a lot. What matters is knowing when to act and when to wait.
My plan for this week: Bias is bullish—wait for confirmation by levels. Be patient on Monday; confirm on Tuesday and Wednesday. When the bull run comes, it won’t move only one step. After the rally, the pullback/shakeout is actually the opportunity we should be waiting for.
When you’re bored, feel free to come chat in the group and bullsh*t a bit 🍑 We can also discuss and exchange interesting news and market hotspots~ See you every afternoon in the live room—don’t be a stranger ❤️
📈 $BTC This rally is underway, and for now I haven’t seen an end yet. Based on the current structure, after BTC (the “big coin”) broke above the prior key resistance, it has already returned to a strong phase. Today, BTC’s high already came close to 86,000, and this move isn’t driven purely by sentiment. ETF inflows returning, short covering, and improvements in technical structure are all providing support for this rebound. So my approach is simple: I’m bullish first, focusing on waiting for confirmation of the breakout. The most important level right now is around 85K. If price can hold above it, then the short-term structure is still leaning bullish. The first resistance zone above is around 85.5K–86K. If it continues to break out there on increased volume, then the next targets are: 88K → the 90K–91K area. Some analysts also see 89K as the next major resistance, and higher up to watch are 90K and even the 96K region. So don’t start guessing the top just because BTC has already risen a lot. Rising high doesn’t automatically mean an immediate top. Of course, during a strong uptrend there will also be pullbacks. If BTC quickly drops after hitting the upper resistance, I would actually first look at whether it can hold around 84.5K. Below that, 80K–81K is still very important structural support. As long as the key support hasn’t been broken, I interpret a pullback as: profit-taking / shakeout during the up-move, not an end to the trend. That’s also why I don’t really want to chase shorts right now. My trading logic is still the same: Big picture: bullish. Short term: wait for confirmation. Hold 85K, then watch 86K. Break 86K, then look to 88K. After a break above 88K, the market can begin to truly challenge the 90K–91K big range. And if 90K can also complete a breakout and hold, then the room ahead will open up even more. So the focus right now isn’t: “BTC has risen so much—can it still go up?” But rather: “Can each key resistance turn into new support?” As long as this structure keeps being confirmed, this rally hasn’t finished yet.
$KERNEL 9月14th buy, today’s small goal perfect exceeded, continue holding Don’t wait until everything has already flown before you buy; $SUI is the most obvious example Family, what’s the next target worth paying attention to?
$KERNEL 9月14th buy, today’s small goal perfect exceeded, continue holding Don’t wait until everything has already flown before you buy; $SUI is the most obvious example Family, what’s the next target worth paying attention to?
A little appreciation for these amazing people who have been a part of my journey from the very beginning — @M A L I Z-مالیز 马 利 兹 @jack jacky @YASH DHALIWAL 31_加密 143 & @RAO_加密 143 🤍✨ Each of you has guided me, shared your knowledge, and helped me learn so much — from growing an account and building followers to understanding trading, campaigns, and handling account issues along the way. Your guidance, support, and knowledge have genuinely helped me grow and understand this journey better. Truly grateful for every lesson, every piece of advice, and all the support.💕🌸🥰 Some people simply cross your path, while others leave a mark on your journey. ✨
$ZEC Major news has come from the Middle East! The U.S. is preparing to seriously negotiate with Iran, and both sides don’t want to keep fighting. Geopolitical tensions have cooled down immediately, and many crypto friends’ first reaction is: could the market be about to change its course?🔥
You should know that whenever the Middle East conflict escalates, funds tend to panic and flee, putting pressure on the broader market. Now that easing signals have come out, risk-averse sentiment drops straight away. But everyone, don’t get blindly optimistic—this is just a sign of negotiation, with many uncertainties and possible twists at any time.🔥
If we look at it from the crypto market perspective, it may provide some emotional support to the market in the short term. However, relying on only this single piece of news makes it difficult to directly drive a full bull market. Coin prices ultimately depend on the Federal Reserve’s policies and the amount of capital coming in.🔥
Many retail investors see the news and rush in anxiously—that’s the easiest way to fall into a trap. News-driven market moves come fast and go even faster. Never bet the farm on a rumor. Keep a light position and observe, monitor the progress of the talks closely, and remember: protecting your principal comes first.🔥#日本央行加息至31年高位 #SOL涨约10%
One evening, Minh sent me a photo. It was an old sheet of paper with the following note written on it: “If the price drops to this level, no matter how optimistic you are, you must sell.”
I asked: “How long have you kept it?”
“Five years.”
Five years later, he himself had to use that rule again. At that moment, he had a large profit. The market started to shake, but he still said, “In the long run, I still believe.” I asked: “So why did you write this rule five years ago?” He went silent, then smiled: “Because back then I didn’t have any money in the market. Without a position, I was very rational.”
That’s right. Before entering a trade, everyone finds it easy to set rules. But once real money is on the table, greed and fear often make us change our decisions.
In the end, Minh sold exactly according to the rule. A few days later, the market dropped sharply. He only said: “I don’t know whether the price will go up or down. I just know that I must follow the principles I set for myself.”
In trading, sometimes what protects you isn’t the ability to predict the market, but the rules written down before emotions show up. #45NgayTuDoTaiChinh $BTC #baisha
$BTC This market is crazy, it’s like a full-blown bull market cycle. Going long feels like you’ll end up the bag-holder, shorting risks getting squeezed, so the only option is to watch from the sidelines.
The Clarity Act was rejected, but the SEC opened an even bigger door for Bitcoin? Just last Wednesday, after Congress flat-out rejected Clarity, the SEC suddenly made a move and rolled out a five-year “innovation exemption,” allowing eligible platforms to truly move U.S. exchange-listed stocks like Apple and Nvidia onto the blockchain for trading—including dividends and voting rights. In other words, whether the Clarity Act passes or not doesn’t matter. I’ll just treat it as if it passed—because the SEC says so! Look at this—this is official, national-level backing, and the market has already answered immediately: Bitcoin is back above $80,000, rising more than 5% at one point during the day. Crypto-related stocks rebounded in sync. Add the recent positive developments from a U.S.-China meeting, and the trend immediately starts to reverse. Bitcoin then quickly tests the major double-top resistance again around $82,000. What’s even more interesting is that before the SEC’s announcement, the always-stubborn JPMorgan quietly flipped its stance. It said: Bitcoin ETFs are currently still weighed down by a whole bunch of shorts and hedging positions. Once those positions ease and begin to unwind, Bitcoin’s upside momentum could even be more ferocious than gold. So the situation right now is this: Congressional legislation can’t get through for the time being, so the SEC and CFTC will push forward using their regulatory authority instead—and the end result is the same! On top of that, Clairty will also review the decision again in a few months. By then, the crypto market will definitely catch another wave of heat—could we be talking about a 10,000-point surge?