📊 The market starts the week in recovery, but with high volatility.
₿ BITCOIN — BTC
BTC surpassed US$ 85,000, reaching its highest level since January. The rise was accompanied by a sharp liquidation of short positions: more than US$ 750 million in crypto positions were liquidated in the last 24 hours, according to data cited by The Block.
♦️ ETHEREUM — ETH
ETH is trading near US$ 2,700, tracking the market recovery. Institutional inflows remain one of the key points to watch, although recent data also shows net outflows of ETH funds last week.
🟣 SOLANA — SOL
SOL is near US$ 116, up more than 7% in 24h. The recovery follows BTC’s strength and the altcoin market.
💵 DOLLAR / BRAZIL
The dollar opened Monday at approximately R$ 5.12, down about 0.39%. The Brazilian market is tracking inflation, expectations for the Selic rate, the fiscal scenario, and the behavior of the global dollar.
🛢️ OIL
Brent falls to approximately US$ 101–102 after surpassing US$ 109 last week. The decline helps ease some of global inflation pressure, but supply risks remain high due to tensions in the Middle East.
🥇 GOLD
Gold remains near US$ 4,350 per ounce. Today it’s seeing some pressure with a firmer dollar and expectations for high US interest rates, but it’s still supported by demand for protection and geopolitical tensions.
📈 GLOBAL STOCKS
The international environment improved:
🇺🇸 S&P 500 futures: up
🇺🇸 Nasdaq: stronger gains, driven mainly by technology and semiconductors
🇪🇺 Europe: up
🌏 Asia: most markets higher
The MSCI World was up about 0.4%, while the European STOXX rose roughly 1.2%.
🌐 WHAT’S MOVING THE MARKET
1️⃣ Oil pulling back after the recent strong rally.
2️⃣ BTC breaking above US$ 85k and pulling the crypto market.
3️⃣ Heavy short-position liquidation.
4️⃣ Tech stocks rebound on expectations of AI-driven demand.
5️⃣ Market watching the Federal Reserve’s next steps.
6️⃣ Tensions in the Middle East continue to be the main geopolitical risk.
⚠️ POINT OF ATTENTION
The recovery is strong, but that doesn’t mean the risk has disappeared.
BTC, ETH and SOL rose quickly, while oil, US yields and geopolitics remain able to cause new swings.
📌 Daily summary:
🟢 BTC — strong recovery
🟢 ETH — following the move
🟢 SOL — strong appreciation
🟢 Stocks — recovery
🟡 Gold — elevated, but pressured in the short term
🟢 Oil — pulling back
🟢 Dollar — R$ 5.12 and down early in the day
🔴 Geopolitics — remains the main risk
Strong market, but still extremely sensitive to interest rates, oil, geopolitics, and institutional flows.
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