From October 2025 to now, about 2 billion XRP have disappeared from exchanges, leaving roughly 1.7 billion. That’s a seven-year low. This reading answers who can sell anytime, but it does not answer who is willing to sell.
If you look at the three parties’ supply sheets together, the tightening only shows up in one of them. The tradable supply of Stellar over the past 90 days is actually up by about 1.06 billion, and all of it comes from the project’s thirteen accounts—about 11.8 million per day. In the same period, the fee pool only collected about 610,000. As for Litecoin’s spot products, they hold only about 136,000 coins, or 0.16% of supply. In one year, it issues about 1.33 million. For XRP, exchanges are down to about 1.7 billion coins. Spot products hold about 980 million coins. In addition, one treasury company has pledged at least 473 million coins.
Same chips moving out and supplies declining—between the two parties, one amount grows day by day along the calendar, while only one amount is actually being moved away.
The 2 billion moved away involve three types of people, with different “quality” of what’s locked. The product layer is constrained by rules; the redemption/issuance is controlled by it. The treasury layer is constrained by terms—those 473 million coins, together with over $1 billion, are tied to a shareholder vote on September 30 and the delivery after the end of the quarter. The large-holder layer added 1.53 billion coins over six months—about 74% of total supply—yet it’s voluntary, and they can move it back at any time.
I put several columns of readings back onto the blockchain on the other side, flipping the direction: active accounts dropped from 15,571 at the start of the year to 7,630 by mid-year. Daily trading fees only suffice to destroy about 27 coins. On the ledger, 88% of stablecoin liquidity belongs to that project’s USD stablecoin—where the usage stays on that side.
The judgment comes down here: exchange reserve quantity is a position, position isn’t willingness. Only the two layers—product and treasury—are bound by rules and terms, together accounting for less than one-tenth of total supply. For it to become invalid, the boundaries are clear too: if the September 30 vote passes, and after delivery those at least 473 million coins really are moved into the vault, and reserves continue to fall, then that’s me being less pessimistic than the buying pressure not yet arriving. If reserves stay around the 1.7 billion area and neither the product nor treasury columns add more, then the interpretation stands. If you want to track whether this displacement is actually being settled, type the name into Binance’s search box and you can see the quotes—no need to change location whether buying or earning interest.
This article is a record of viewpoints and does not constitute investment advice.$CELR
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#xrp交易所储备创七年新低