$ARM 🎯 The uptrend is still in play, but I won’t take this one near 276.
🧭 ARM has already moved up to the prior high around 276.53, reached by the first 30 complete daily K-lines. From 09:00 to 10:00, the proactive buy volume was about 2.11 times the sell volume—there really is buy-side support in the short term. However, the hourly RSI is also above 70, so if you chase now, the first thing you’ll hit is the previous high.
I’m bullish. My approach is to wait for it to pull back to the level it repeatedly stalled at yesterday. If it doesn’t pull back, then this trade has no setup.
📍 Long entries from the left-side zone: 273.50—274.00
Support reference: 273.19—273.59／272.12. Note that this cycle lacks the corresponding near-term structure at 272.12, so only 273.19—273.59 is used as support.
Resistance to watch: 276.53—276.60; the second tier won’t be added.
✅ Hard stop-loss for the entry: 272.80. Cut some at 274.90 first, then reassess around 276.40.
Once within the long zone, wait for a 15-minute K-line that probes lower and closes up (a bullish retracement candle). Only consider it if the proactive buy volume exceeds sell volume and the成交量 (trading volume) reaches the average volume level of the prior 20 bars. The close must still be within 273.50—274.00; you can’t wait for it to bounce back to 275 before chasing.
🧯 If the prior hour closes below/breaks 273.19, the plan is canceled. The 0.39 extra buffer below that low is set by risk control: 272.80. What we’re doing here is buying the pullback after an upswing. Also, since the U.S. stock market is closed over the weekend, the rise in contracts lacks synchronous成交 (trade) validation from the underlying asset—so slippage needs to be accounted for more than usual.
🧭 ARM has already moved up to the prior high around 276.53, reached by the first 30 complete daily K-lines. From 09:00 to 10:00, the proactive buy volume was about 2.11 times the sell volume—there really is buy-side support in the short term. However, the hourly RSI is also above 70, so if you chase now, the first thing you’ll hit is the previous high.
I’m bullish. My approach is to wait for it to pull back to the level it repeatedly stalled at yesterday. If it doesn’t pull back, then this trade has no setup.
📍 Long entries from the left-side zone: 273.50—274.00
Support reference: 273.19—273.59／272.12. Note that this cycle lacks the corresponding near-term structure at 272.12, so only 273.19—273.59 is used as support.
Resistance to watch: 276.53—276.60; the second tier won’t be added.
✅ Hard stop-loss for the entry: 272.80. Cut some at 274.90 first, then reassess around 276.40.
Once within the long zone, wait for a 15-minute K-line that probes lower and closes up (a bullish retracement candle). Only consider it if the proactive buy volume exceeds sell volume and the成交量 (trading volume) reaches the average volume level of the prior 20 bars. The close must still be within 273.50—274.00; you can’t wait for it to bounce back to 275 before chasing.
🧯 If the prior hour closes below/breaks 273.19, the plan is canceled. The 0.39 extra buffer below that low is set by risk control: 272.80. What we’re doing here is buying the pullback after an upswing. Also, since the U.S. stock market is closed over the weekend, the rise in contracts lacks synchronous成交 (trade) validation from the underlying asset—so slippage needs to be accounted for more than usual.