$BTC
Don’t just stare at the candlestick chart—over the next 15 days, what’s truly going to press down on crypto markets is the macro.⚡
The Fed just raised its target interest rate by 25bp on September 16 to 3.75%-4.00%. This isn’t ordinary noise—it’s liquidity repricing for risk assets. The latest BLS data isn’t exactly gentle either: August CPI +0.4%, PPI final demand +0.4%, and inflation hasn’t obediently gone down. On Binance, BTC is around 81,339, up +0.486% in 24H, with a high/low of 81,951/80,844. It looks steady, but the steadier it is, the more you fear that once U.S. data drops, liquidity will be pulled out directly.
I’ll treat the U.S. September Non-Farm Payrolls at 20:30 Beijing time on October 2 as the first major hurdle. If the data is strong, the market will keep worrying that high rates will compress valuations; if the data is weak, BTC may instead benefit from a sentiment rebound—“easing policy expectations a bit.” In terms of trading, I won’t chase a long green candle. I’ll first watch for support around 80,800; only after it holds above 82,000 will I get more proactive.
Do you think the Non-Farm payrolls will bail the market out, or will it continue to put pressure on the bulls? Leave a comment and let’s talk.#BTC #FOMC #macroeconomics
Don’t just stare at the candlestick chart—over the next 15 days, what’s truly going to press down on crypto markets is the macro.⚡
The Fed just raised its target interest rate by 25bp on September 16 to 3.75%-4.00%. This isn’t ordinary noise—it’s liquidity repricing for risk assets. The latest BLS data isn’t exactly gentle either: August CPI +0.4%, PPI final demand +0.4%, and inflation hasn’t obediently gone down. On Binance, BTC is around 81,339, up +0.486% in 24H, with a high/low of 81,951/80,844. It looks steady, but the steadier it is, the more you fear that once U.S. data drops, liquidity will be pulled out directly.
I’ll treat the U.S. September Non-Farm Payrolls at 20:30 Beijing time on October 2 as the first major hurdle. If the data is strong, the market will keep worrying that high rates will compress valuations; if the data is weak, BTC may instead benefit from a sentiment rebound—“easing policy expectations a bit.” In terms of trading, I won’t chase a long green candle. I’ll first watch for support around 80,800; only after it holds above 82,000 will I get more proactive.
Do you think the Non-Farm payrolls will bail the market out, or will it continue to put pressure on the bulls? Leave a comment and let’s talk.#BTC #FOMC #macroeconomics
