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6+6=?

With this one sell-off, I actually want to see more.

Last night, the 4H went from 2630 down to 2562. The single-candle trading volume was 750,000 ETH—about twice that of the previous few candles.

The problem is, after it was sold off, it didn’t keep falling.

In the following two 4H candles, the trading volume quickly shrank to around 300,000, and the price held steady in the 2570–2580 range, which suggests that there are buyers picking up around 2560.

Looking at the derivatives contract data, it’s even clearer:

OI fell from 2.35M ETH to 2.33M. With the price down and positions also down, this looks more like long positions being flushed out—not like shorts massively adding.

Whale positioning is still tilted bullish: long/short ratio is 1.62. Over the past hour, the aggressive buy/sell ratio is 1.11—buying demand is back.

So I’m not looking for continued liquidation right now.

As long as 2560 doesn’t break, I’ll look for a rebound. First target 2630; if it breaks through, then look at 2660.

Now chasing a short, I think the risk/reward is pretty bad. $ETH

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With a cool breeze rising in the night, another autumn arrives in the world. Time says nothing, yet fallen leaves rustle. Years pass by everyone in the same way, and each person walks through them in their own unique fashion. The spirit of autumn is hidden in the evening breeze; the story of life is written in the four seasons. May this autumn be gentle, may the years pass peacefully, may our parents be healthy, may we grow—and may all the wonders and harvests we hope for meet us unexpectedly.

Some people occupy the trending search using private disputes, while others quietly do work with a 4.5% slippage. 1% is burned, 1.5% is distributed as dividends, and 2% is used for marketing. Traffic will ebb, but on-chain records won’t.

#LUCIC

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$BNB

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The weekend crypto market continues to rebound; $BTC even regained $81,000 today, while $ETH also returned to around $2,600. Many altcoins followed suit and surged as well.👀

Looking forward to another round of market action this Sunday evening!

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$BNB

Cherish passion and set out for the mountains and seas; don’t waste your time, and don’t let down the love in your heart.
Keep passion in heart, chase dreams and live up to yourself.

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$XTZ


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$AR

I'm bullish on this AVAX move—I’m not trying to guess the top.

In the past 24 hours, it’s already climbed nearly 30%. The current price is around 10.7, but what I care about more is that the OI is still rising—from around 10.10 million up to 10.50 million, which suggests the funds haven’t left.

In the last 1 hour, the aggressive buy orders made the ratio 1.36, and the large-trader long/short ratio is 2.65. Clearly, the capital is still standing on the long side.

With a setup like this, I won’t switch to short just because it’s already pumped.

My plan is simple:

Above 10.1, continue holding longs.
If 10.8 breaks through again, I’ll look directly at 11.5.
If it truly breaks below 10.1, I’ll exit.

This isn’t the time to look for a short entry point—it’s time to wait for a pullback to get a chance to get in.
$AVAX

#华夏基金完成港元稳定币投资用例 As public offering giants begin using compliant stablecoins for subscription and redemption of funds, tokenized finance in Hong Kong has officially moved past the concept test and into real business scenarios. On September 18, Huaxia Fund (Hong Kong), together with Standard Chartered Bank and OSL, completed Hong Kong’s first batch of Hong Kong-dollar stablecoin HKDAP investment tokenization use cases. HKDAP can be used directly to subscribe and redeem the company’s digital-asset market funds. The total size of its tokenized currency funds in Hong Kong dollars, US dollars, and RMB across the full range has exceeded HK$5.8 billion.

The biggest value of this trial is not hype around stablecoins, but the establishment of a compliant end-to-end connection linking traditional asset management, licensed exchanges, and custody banks. In the past, fund subscription and redemption were limited by trading hours. On-chain stablecoins are expected to enable 7×24 settlement, compress clearing and settlement time, and reduce counterparty risk. Institutions are starting to come in—here we go. $NVDA.US

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$AKE How many people are shorting?！！！！

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Trade and economic talks and AI strategy meetings between China and the U.S. held around September 20 (for example, a meeting in New York between U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent and China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng). Such macro-level contests between major powers and policy communication typically have the following dimensions of indirect and potential impact on the cryptocurrency market (the coin圈):
1. Linkage between macro liquidity and risk appetite
The “barometer” of market sentiment: Progress on issues such as China–U.S. economic and trade relations and tariffs, as well as supply-chain developments, directly affects global capital markets. If the talks send a calming signal (e.g., extending the trade truce period and stabilizing the supply chain), they often boost the overall preference for global risk assets. As high-beta assets, cryptocurrencies often benefit from this positive macro sentiment.
FX rates and capital flows: The talks can influence the near-term direction of the RMB exchange rate and the U.S. dollar index. Macro stability helps maintain normal global liquidity and reduces panic selling triggered by extremely heightened geopolitical tensions.
2. Policy spillover in the intersection of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Web3
AI regulation and coordination with foundational technology: One of the core topics of the mid-September China–U.S. talks is risk control and the establishment of guardrails for frontier AI models and technologies. Since “AI + Web3” (decentralized compute power, AI agent trading, and DeFi intelligent risk models) is closely integrated, any shifts in policy outlook regarding cross-border AI flows or the regulation of open-source versus closed-source models may cause fluctuations in sentiment and compliance expectations for AI-related tokens and decentralized compute infrastructure segments in the crypto market.
3. Spillover effects of global compliance and regulatory expectations
High-level dialogues between major powers on key technologies, supply chains, and financial security often accelerate the evolution of their respective domestic digital asset and compliance frameworks. Against the backdrop of increasingly stringent global regulation, macro-level communication can help reduce chaotic disruptions to the global crypto market caused by extreme regulatory actions—but it also means that standards such as compliance requirements and anti–money laundering (AML) will continue to be transmitted to the blockchain industry.
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