(Big Dough) $BTC My view:
With this water level of Big Dough, do you still dare to cast your net to the south with your eyes closed? Brothers, the gate you had to pass has already passed many times. The backwash waves haven’t been confirmed yet, yet you’re in a hurry to block the water. Be careful—you might not catch any fish, and your net could get dragged away!
On the hourly and four-hour charts, the southern structure has already been disrupted. Right now, the main idea is to wait until the water level drops back, then look for opportunities to the north. Don’t constantly guess where the highest water level is.
If it can hold above 81300, then there’s still a chance to probe the higher ground ahead. If the daily chart can push through the gate at 82700 to 83000, then the upstream will have even more room.
But being bullish on the north doesn’t mean you should wildly cast your net right now. Today there are two routes—listen clearly.
To the north: wait for 81600 to break through with the water volume. Once the hourly timeframe can stand firm, then look at 82300 to 83400. If it can’t hold, don’t think about the big fish yet.
To the south: first wait for 81000 to leak down with volume. Only if it can’t climb back up afterward should you consider lifting your pole and joining in. Once the four-hour timeframe also confirms that level is lost, only then should the range 80003 to 79100 be considered downstream—and the safety rope must be tied tight.
Clarify this here: 81000 is the near-term signal of the water level retreat; 80003 is the key big dam below. As long as the dam hasn’t been lost, don’t see a slight drop and shout “full-scale flood release.”
If you really want to wait for the whole water area to turn, you still need to see the upstream waves above get pressed back in one gulp. If 80500 can’t be held and it can’t be recovered later, then the defense from 80500 to 81800 will be disrupted. Conditions aren’t fully met—don’t treat a small backwash wave as a major tide turning.
Second Dough is the same: don’t fixate on the butterfly-wing D point and decide that it’s guaranteed to retreat. Even if it doesn’t move downward, it may still keep pushing upward.
Second Dough: watch 2628 to the north, watch 2602 to the south. Only after the break confirms should you lower your pole. Since 2585 below hasn’t been lost, don’t rush to call a big retreat.
Brothers,守 position, and守 conditions too. If Big Dough hasn’t leaked below 81000, don’t rush to the south; if it hasn’t stood稳 81600, don’t chase for the north. Whichever direction the waves go, wait until it moves clearly before following—don’t struggle with your own bait against the water current!
With this water level of Big Dough, do you still dare to cast your net to the south with your eyes closed? Brothers, the gate you had to pass has already passed many times. The backwash waves haven’t been confirmed yet, yet you’re in a hurry to block the water. Be careful—you might not catch any fish, and your net could get dragged away!
On the hourly and four-hour charts, the southern structure has already been disrupted. Right now, the main idea is to wait until the water level drops back, then look for opportunities to the north. Don’t constantly guess where the highest water level is.
If it can hold above 81300, then there’s still a chance to probe the higher ground ahead. If the daily chart can push through the gate at 82700 to 83000, then the upstream will have even more room.
But being bullish on the north doesn’t mean you should wildly cast your net right now. Today there are two routes—listen clearly.
To the north: wait for 81600 to break through with the water volume. Once the hourly timeframe can stand firm, then look at 82300 to 83400. If it can’t hold, don’t think about the big fish yet.
To the south: first wait for 81000 to leak down with volume. Only if it can’t climb back up afterward should you consider lifting your pole and joining in. Once the four-hour timeframe also confirms that level is lost, only then should the range 80003 to 79100 be considered downstream—and the safety rope must be tied tight.
Clarify this here: 81000 is the near-term signal of the water level retreat; 80003 is the key big dam below. As long as the dam hasn’t been lost, don’t see a slight drop and shout “full-scale flood release.”
If you really want to wait for the whole water area to turn, you still need to see the upstream waves above get pressed back in one gulp. If 80500 can’t be held and it can’t be recovered later, then the defense from 80500 to 81800 will be disrupted. Conditions aren’t fully met—don’t treat a small backwash wave as a major tide turning.
Second Dough is the same: don’t fixate on the butterfly-wing D point and decide that it’s guaranteed to retreat. Even if it doesn’t move downward, it may still keep pushing upward.
Second Dough: watch 2628 to the north, watch 2602 to the south. Only after the break confirms should you lower your pole. Since 2585 below hasn’t been lost, don’t rush to call a big retreat.
Brothers,守 position, and守 conditions too. If Big Dough hasn’t leaked below 81000, don’t rush to the south; if it hasn’t stood稳 81600, don’t chase for the north. Whichever direction the waves go, wait until it moves clearly before following—don’t struggle with your own bait against the water current!