$BTC
Don’t just stare at a single bullish candle. In the next 15 days, the real risks are on the macro side ⚡
On September 16, the Fed just raised rates by 25 bps, with a target range of 3.75%–4.00%. In its statement, the wording was very tough: inflation is still high, and they need to bring price stability back under control. That means if the market was able to push $BTC back above 80,000 yesterday, it wasn’t because there’s no macro pressure—it's because after the bad news hit, the bears couldn’t keep driving price through.
On Binance spot, the picture is very clear: BTC is up 4.27% over the last 24 hours, with trading volume of about 1.647 billion USDT. The low is 77,961 and the high is 81,741. This kind of move suggests capital is testing whether BTC can still rise after the rate hike. But on October 2 at 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. September jobs report (Non-Farm Payrolls) is coming out. If any of wages, employment, or the unemployment rate comes in hotter than expected, it could reignite rate-hike expectations.
My take is simple: if price holds above 80,000, macro negatives have been digested reasonably well; if it falls back below 78,000, short-term sentiment will cool down. Don’t rush to declare a bull or bear death sentence—wait and see what the data says, and then watch who still dares to step in.
Which one are you more worried about: a blockbuster Non-Farm Payrolls number, or the idea that BTC has already become immune to macro news? Comment and be harsh.
#BTC #FOMC #Non-Farm
Don’t just stare at a single bullish candle. In the next 15 days, the real risks are on the macro side ⚡
On September 16, the Fed just raised rates by 25 bps, with a target range of 3.75%–4.00%. In its statement, the wording was very tough: inflation is still high, and they need to bring price stability back under control. That means if the market was able to push $BTC back above 80,000 yesterday, it wasn’t because there’s no macro pressure—it's because after the bad news hit, the bears couldn’t keep driving price through.
On Binance spot, the picture is very clear: BTC is up 4.27% over the last 24 hours, with trading volume of about 1.647 billion USDT. The low is 77,961 and the high is 81,741. This kind of move suggests capital is testing whether BTC can still rise after the rate hike. But on October 2 at 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. September jobs report (Non-Farm Payrolls) is coming out. If any of wages, employment, or the unemployment rate comes in hotter than expected, it could reignite rate-hike expectations.
My take is simple: if price holds above 80,000, macro negatives have been digested reasonably well; if it falls back below 78,000, short-term sentiment will cool down. Don’t rush to declare a bull or bear death sentence—wait and see what the data says, and then watch who still dares to step in.
Which one are you more worried about: a blockbuster Non-Farm Payrolls number, or the idea that BTC has already become immune to macro news? Comment and be harsh.
#BTC #FOMC #Non-Farm
