乘风Sunshine

Alone, trading coins, drinking tea ☕️

No small talk, no gossip

I only care about whether it’s going up or down, the Golden Dog x100 B-tokens

I don’t splurge—I save for adding to positions

Stable emotions; only a limit-down can beat me 📈

Riding the waves to迎光, embarking on new horizons, together we reach far, and open a brilliant new chapter.
Ride the waves, embrace light, and stride toward a brilliant future.

The strategy direction is already clear:
Spot first—enter in batches at 75,000 and 73,000, further improving fault tolerance;
At the 75,000 level for futures, we’ve repeatedly “harvested” there multiple times. Missing once is fine—wait for stronger support at 73,000;
ETH support reference: 2360, 2200.

Once a deep drawdown of 20% or so arrives—like a sudden bloodbath—this kind of “golden falling” window must be boldly used to build positions.

Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication. This strategy is simple yet very effective: sell when crowds are loud, buy when no one is paying attention.
After successfully escaping the top at a high level, the main task now is to gradually take back the chips on dips.
After that, when you encounter good trading opportunities, jump right in. For long-term positioning, hold steadfast; for short-term gains, also seize the moment.

🇨🇳 Today｜September 17 Crypto Market Brief

🔥 FOMC delivered results, and the market shifted from “waiting for answers” to “digesting the answers”
The Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in three years by 25 basis points, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%.
BTC briefly fell to around $75.3K, then regained and moved back above $76K.
📉 ETFs: about $746M outflow over two days
On September 15, spot BTC ETF net outflows were about $450M; on September 16, there was another outflow of about $296M.
Together, the two-day total is nearly $746M—one of the largest consecutive outflow streaks recently.
But this looks more like a concentrated reaction to blocked CLARITY momentum and the FOMC outcome, not simply a sign of long-term capital leaving.
🏛 US Regulation: the Senate and House head in different directions
The CLARITY Act did not receive the 60 votes needed to advance in the Senate.
Meanwhile, two related bills passed in the House committee:
American Reserve Modernization Act: 28–21
Digital Asset Tax Certainty Act: 38–5
Market-structure legislation is temporarily stalled, but BTC reserves and the digital asset tax framework are still moving forward.
⚡ Circle Arc Mainnet officially goes live
Circle launched an L1 Arc that uses USDC as gas, targeting sub-second finality.
Institutions including BlackRock, Visa, Mastercard, DTCC, and ICE participate in validating nodes, while 100+ apps and institutional projects enter the ecosystem in parallel.
🟢 ZEC becomes today’s standout mover
Zcash rose as much as about 18%–23%.
The NU7 upgrade will reduce target block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds while keeping the existing halving mechanism.
📊 Market Snapshot
BTC ≈ $76.4K
ETH ≈ $2.44K
SOL ≈ $100
BNB ≈ $710+
XRP ≈ $1.29
🎯 Today’s key is not “whether rates will be raised,” but “what happens after the hike.”
The 25bp increase is already in the books.
Now the market is really watching the Dot Plot, the inflation path, and whether the remaining time through 2026 will still see tightening.
BTC is still looking for direction within the $75K–$80K range.
#1688家族family #蓝朋友1688 #CryptoWatchMay2024 #EthereumEFT #FOMC‬⁩

Are you really suited to make a living by trading?
Part Six

⑥ Finally, ask yourself one more question

Do you really spend a lot of time every day learning and analyzing?

Many people ask me:

“Why don’t I have results even after trading for a year?”

But if you dig in carefully:

How many hours do you actually spend learning every day?

Do you do a review afterward?

Do you keep a trading log?

Do you track your win rate, profit-to-loss ratio, and maximum drawdown?

Do you analyze what kinds of market conditions you are most likely to make mistakes in?

In the end, you’ll find that:

In fact, many people don’t really do it.

So some people say:

“I’m not good at trading, so trading isn’t for me.”

I think that conclusion was reached too quickly.

You should first ask yourself:

Have I really built a trading environment that suits me?

Have I really found a trading approach that fits my personality?

Have I really put in enough time to learn?

Have I systematically verified my method?

If these questions still haven’t been resolved,

then it’s time to say:

“Trading isn’t working.”

Actually, it’s still too early.

Finally, what I want to say is:

Many people understand “successful trading” as:

Finding a magical indicator.

But in reality, truly long-term, stable trading is more like a complete system:

your income structure
＋your lifestyle
＋your trading
＋your personality
＋a trading style that suits you
＋knowledge
＋risk management
＋mental resilience

As long as any one of these elements has been a problem for a long time,

it may eventually show up in your trading results.

So before asking:

“Can I get rich by trading?”

first ask yourself:

“Is my current life really already prepared for me to become a trader?”

This may be far more important than learning another indicator.

If you’re interested in trading, feel free to leave a comment in the comment section or join the chat room to exchange ideas and learn together and grow together!
#Paradigm披露持有ZEC #Paradigm披露持有ZEC

🍃Walk forward with the mountain breeze, and let yourself settle through each step⛰️
When climbing to see the scenery, what matters most is focus on your footing—trading and “cultivation” are the same📊.
Market ups and downs come and go swiftly—don’t let short-term fluctuations disrupt your rhythm🕊️.
Stay independent in thinking, keep your inner order, and don’t blindly follow the crowd or chase trends✨.
Accumulate understanding slowly, hold your impulses in check—opportunities will come in their own time💎.
Keep your passion, delve deeper inward, and along the way you’ll have your own rewards🌿

#交易心理

#Paradigm披露持有ZEC

#1688家族family

Good afternoon#红包 #🧧$ETH

This world isn’t about who’s faster
$BNB 🧧
It’s about endurance and resolve
All the beauty in the world
is worth taking time to enjoy—slowly, step by step

🔥$ZEC has rushed to 1500—can it still move higher from here?

This round of ZEC’s strength has indeed gone beyond many people’s expectations.

From breaking through a key resistance level and continuously setting new highs, it has now entered a very critical position:

The uptrend hasn’t shown obvious signs of being broken, but the short-term market has already entered a high-level standoff.

Currently, the market has a few viewpoints that are quite interesting.

Some traders believe that ZEC now looks more like high-level consolidation within a strong trend. As long as the core breakout zone can be defended, there’s still a possibility for further upward expansion.

But some analysts are starting to warn:

Rising too fast is itself a risk.

Derivatives positioning continues to increase, and technical indicators have also moved into a clearly overheated area.

So going forward, I won’t simply chase the number “1500.”

I’m watching three areas instead:

First, the breakout zone overhead.

If ZEC can continue to break the prior high with expanding volume, and after breaking out it can turn this zone into a new support level, then the strong uptrend still has room to continue.

For the next phase above, keep an eye on higher integer psychological levels.

Second, the pressure around 1500.

This is a very important psychological level.

If it spikes up and then quickly falls back, it suggests that profit-taking from higher levels has started to cash in.

In that case, the short term is more likely to enter consolidation rather than immediately pushing higher.

Third, the core support zone below.

Right now, market analysis is focused on the earlier breakout zone.

As long as this zone holds, ZEC is still in a strong structure.

But if it breaks down and the subsequent retest can’t reclaim it, then be careful—this rally may be entering a deeper correction. Earlier analysis also pointed to the next lower layer of support as an observation area if the trend starts to weaken.

So my conclusion is simple:

ZEC still has upside potential, but the risk of chasing after a spike is getting higher.

Strong breakout and holding firm → continue to look for trend extension.

Push high and then pull back at high levels → wait for the dip to confirm.

If core support is lost → guard against the uptrend structure weakening.

When the market is strong, you can’t rely on emotion to chase.

I’d rather wait for a comfortable entry point than FOMO just because I see 1500.

$PEOPLE Every year during the U.S. presidential election, this coin will have market action. “By the people, for the people” — you can stake a position in advance!

This week’s crypto market enters **the “Super Central Bank Week”**
In the early hours of Thursday (9/17), the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will release the latest interest-rate decision and economic projections. Throughout the week, the market is expected to follow a pattern of “low-volume, wait-and-see action in the first half, with the decision unleashing a directional move in the second half.”

1. Key logic for this week
“Before the rate decision is finalized, it suppresses sentiment and encourages caution. After the decision is announced, direction is revealed through pin-like reactions from above and below.”

From Monday to Wednesday (accumulation period): Market risk-hedging sentiment is strong. The broader market is expected to trade in a range with low volume and narrow fluctuations, and neither bulls nor bears are willing to take an aggressive, heavy position.
From Thursday to the weekend (positioning period): The Fed’s rate decision and Powell’s remarks will set the tone for year-end liquidity. This often leads to “false breakouts / false breakdowns” followed by a quick reversal—i.e., a washout行情.

2. Bull/Bear scenario walkthrough for this week
Scenario A: Dips followed by rebound (high probability; mainly range-building and bottoming)
Path: In the first half of the week, price weakly tests support (BTC retests $76,000 / ETH retests $2,380–$2,400). If the decision signals that the “rate-hike cycle is close to ending,” or is less hawkish than expected, it may trigger short-covering and buyers stepping in, pulling price up with a long lower wick rebound.
Scenario B: Break down lower (medium probability; more hawkish than expected)
Path: If the Fed shows a strongly tightening stance, and ETH breaks below $2,330 and BTC breaks below $75,500, leveraged long positions will be further liquidated. Then price may retrace to $2,200 to seek stronger support.

3. Key ETH levels to watch this week
Overhead rebound resistance:
$2,480 – $2,500 (primary checkpoint: resistance from short-term moving averages on the daily)
$2,550 – $2,600 (strength/weakness line: only a breakout with volume can reverse this daily downtrend)
Downside defense supports:
$2,400 – $2,420 (short-term psychological level: breaking below may trigger stop-losses for short-term longs)
$2,330 – $2,350 (swing “lifeline”: once the real body breaks below, the structure is likely to shift into a deeper pullback)

4. Trading recommendations for this week
Tone: Stay conservative and wait for signals
Strategy:
1. Do less before Wednesday; observe more: Avoid blindly guessing direction or adding leverage during low-volume, range-bound volatility.
2. Closely track the key needle-points (pin reactions): If before/around Thursday, near $2,400 or $2,350 there is a stop-the-bleeding signal such as a high-volume close with a long lower wick, that’s a higher-probability “right-side” entry timing. Until price stands above $2,550, treat all rebounds as weak corrective moves first.

$BTC $ETH

“The Clear Bill’s failure is extremely detrimental to cryptocurrencies.”

“No, that’s not the case. Have you read this bill?”

“No. Have you?”

“No.”

$LSK $牛来 $AKE Shan Sai coins, the King of Kings, one day in heaven, one minute in hell; who will rise and who will fall? Big multiples, low position, high explosive prices. Follow the trend—be sure to go with the trend, either long or short. Retrace to the support or resistance level, halve to protect capital, and score another win.

One autumn rain brings a chill, and time moves hurriedly. Next Friday is the Mid-Autumn Festival already. With some hesitation, I’ll ask: how much money have you saved this year? It’s still three or four months until 2027—have you met your goal?

🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧🧧
The market rises and falls, yet people’s hearts remain steady. It’s okay to go slower—long-term thinking, and time will deliver the answer. $BNB

Early this morning, the Fed’s rate hike has landed: 25 basis points, 3.75%–4%, passed unanimously.

To be honest, the hike itself was already expected by the market, with a 93% probability—there wasn’t much suspense. But the truly surprising part was the dot plot—of the 18 officials, 16 believe there will be another rate hike this year. By the end of the year, the median rate hit 4.1%, and it stays at 4.1% in 2027. The message is very clear: rate hikes are not a one-off; high rates need to be maintained for a long time.

Earlier, the market was still fantasizing that after this round, they’d cut rates. Now that fantasy is shattered. When Waller (Wosh) stepped up, he went straight for the first fire—burning pretty intensely, leaving Trump with no face at all. Trump had previously said rates should be cut to below 1%, but the Fed directly raised rates, and also hinted that more hikes may follow.

Back to the crypto world: these past two days, the drop has been truly brutal. The Clear Act didn’t pass, and the Fed turned more hawkish again—double whammy. BTC fell from 79,000 to 75,000. ETH dropped even more, with 120,000 liquidations.

But I actually think this kind of concentrated release of bad news isn’t necessarily a bad thing. Everything that needed to drop has dropped; everything that needed to get liquidated has been liquidated. Once the market digests it, it should enter the next phase with a lighter load. Now BTC is holding around 75,000, which suggests there are buyers stepping in at this level.

Of course, I’m not saying a rally is coming immediately. Short-term pressure will definitely remain. The macro environment is poor, and regulation is still uncertain—so we may need to grind through the base for a while. But if you look further ahead, these are just interludes.

The rate-hike cycle will eventually end, and regulation will eventually become clear.

These things don’t change Bitcoin’s underlying value.

At 4 p.m., I’ll chat in the group about “After the rate hike lands, how do we go from here?”—I’ll share my outlook and my trading plan. If you’re interested, come join.