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橙子Joyce
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橙子Joyce

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十年以上美股市场投研策略|WEB3项目投研|BTC.ETH.BNB.SOL|贵金属投资策略黄金.白银.铜|中长期价值投资者|推特X:@Joyce88AI
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Will the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market? After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years. Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound. Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative. This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year. As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market. If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.) If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%. Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week. One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes. Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes! $BZ {future}(BZUSDT) $CL {future}(CLUSDT) Energy
Will the Federal Reserve raise rates as expected this week? Wall Street is debating: will it end the U.S. stock bull market?

After an unexpectedly strong U.S. CPI report came out last Friday, traders generally expect the Federal Reserve to begin raising rates at this week’s policy meeting—marking the first rate hike in more than three years.

Historically, previous rounds of rate hikes have offered a reference point for today’s market. Based on past experience (though history of course can’t guarantee the future), U.S. stocks may first weaken, then rebound.

Among the six tightening cycles since 1994, during the first four months after the rate-hike cycle began, the S&P 500’s average return was negative.

This suggests that once the “rate-hike shoe” drops, U.S. stocks may look lackluster through the beginning of next year.

As of the close last Friday, the benchmark U.S. equity index, the S&P 500, is up nearly 12% year to date. Strong corporate earnings and a fairly resilient economy have provided solid support for bulls in the stock market.

If you extend the time horizon, the S&P 500’s performance tends to improve gradually: in the 12 months after the start of a rate-hiking cycle, the index’s average return is close to 7%, with a median return of about 11%. (Using median-based statistics helps remove distortions from extreme outliers—for example, the index surged more than 40% after hikes began in March 1997.)

If the Federal Reserve implements a rate hike this Wednesday, it will be the first hike since July 2023—when the Fed raised rates to a range of 5.25% to 5.50%.

Currently, the federal funds rate in the U.S. is at 3.50% to 3.75%. According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, futures traders currently assign an 86% probability to a 25-basis-point hike this week.

One positive factor for the market is that mega-scale cloud service providers are still driving growth in excess returns through large-scale AI spending. The S&P 500 component stocks’ forecast for earnings growth in 2027 is expected to reach double digits. If the outlook for AI spending remains unchanged, it may be enough to offset any cooling in optimistic sentiment caused by the rate hikes.

Another bright spot for equities is that although inflation remains sticky, it appears to be slowing. The inflation rate has fallen from a May peak of 4.2%. This should allow the Federal Reserve to take a more gradual approach, and the data shows that the pace of rate hikes is crucial for stock performance—slower pacing gives investors more time to absorb policy changes!
$BZ
$CL
Energy
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Elon Musk’s followers: Gracias was introduced to Musk earlier by David Sacks. Valor began investing in SpaceX in 2008, and by 2021 had already poured a total of about $400 million into the company. In addition to being one of SpaceX’s biggest backers, Gracias and Valor also invested in Tesla (Nasdaq ticker: TSLA). Gracias served on Tesla’s board from 2007 to 2021, after which he stepped down. Gracias and Valor also invested in Musk’s “boring company” earlier this year. Form 4 filings submitted by Gracias and Valor show that the investor has reduced its stake in SpaceX by about 8.5%, or 42,790,223 shares. After the sale, Valor still holds 460,624,307 shares of SpaceX, accounting for approximately 3.4% of the company’s total shares outstanding. Although Gracias is allowing some of Valor’s investors to cash out profits via the SpaceX IPO, he had previously said that he planned to hold the stock long term. Meanwhile, this private equity firm still retains a majority stake in SpaceX. SpaceX’s stock price rose 2.6% to $154.81, and its 52-week trading range was $104.83 to $225.64. Driven by Thursday’s price increase, SpaceX shares hit a new high since July 9. —————————————————————————— Gracias began investing nearly eighteen years ago, and investing in any company Musk runs has now made his wealth: Gracias’s net worth is about $20.5 billion, ranking 127th on Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index. This investor has accumulated an increase in value of $5.82 billion by 2026. Truly impressive vision and wisdom—top-tier investment returns 👍👍👍 $SPCX.US {stock_us}(SPCX.US)
Elon Musk’s followers: Gracias was introduced to Musk earlier by David Sacks. Valor began investing in SpaceX in 2008, and by 2021 had already poured a total of about $400 million into the company.

In addition to being one of SpaceX’s biggest backers, Gracias and Valor also invested in Tesla (Nasdaq ticker: TSLA). Gracias served on Tesla’s board from 2007 to 2021, after which he stepped down.

Gracias and Valor also invested in Musk’s “boring company” earlier this year.

Form 4 filings submitted by Gracias and Valor show that the investor has reduced its stake in SpaceX by about 8.5%, or 42,790,223 shares. After the sale, Valor still holds 460,624,307 shares of SpaceX, accounting for approximately 3.4% of the company’s total shares outstanding.

Although Gracias is allowing some of Valor’s investors to cash out profits via the SpaceX IPO, he had previously said that he planned to hold the stock long term. Meanwhile, this private equity firm still retains a majority stake in SpaceX.

SpaceX’s stock price rose 2.6% to $154.81, and its 52-week trading range was $104.83 to $225.64. Driven by Thursday’s price increase, SpaceX shares hit a new high since July 9.
——————————————————————————
Gracias began investing nearly eighteen years ago, and investing in any company Musk runs has now made his wealth: Gracias’s net worth is about $20.5 billion, ranking 127th on Bloomberg’s Billionaires Index. This investor has accumulated an increase in value of $5.82 billion by 2026.
Truly impressive vision and wisdom—top-tier investment returns 👍👍👍
$SPCX.US
TSLAB+1.66%
SPCXUS+0.91%
@jack jacky
@jack jacky
jack jacky
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LUCiC is reshaping the decentralized future! With its unique innovative technology and efficient ecosystem, it is displaying unprecedented breakout potential and market appeal. Whether you’re an investor seeking long-term value or a crypto enthusiast looking for the next 100x coin, LUCiC is not to be missed. Ride this wave of crypto momentum—join the community now and witness a new era of digital assets with LUCiC! 🌐✨
慢就是快Mike
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$PEOPLE Every year during the U.S. presidential election, this coin will have market action. “By the people, for the people” — you can stake a position in advance!
晚风Vesper_1688
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🍃Walk forward with the mountain breeze, and let yourself settle through each step⛰️
When climbing to see the scenery, what matters most is focus on your footing—trading and “cultivation” are the same📊.
Market ups and downs come and go swiftly—don’t let short-term fluctuations disrupt your rhythm🕊️.
Stay independent in thinking, keep your inner order, and don’t blindly follow the crowd or chase trends✨.
Accumulate understanding slowly, hold your impulses in check—opportunities will come in their own time💎.
Keep your passion, delve deeper inward, and along the way you’ll have your own rewards🌿

#交易心理

#Paradigm披露持有ZEC

#1688家族family
Elena神话MUA
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#MUA $BNB (BNB) Market Overview (2026-09-15)

- Current price: about $719 (≈ RMB 4,836)

- 24 hours: up slightly by about +0.51%; 24H range $717–$733.6

- 7 days: -2.80%; 30 days: +18.40%

- Circulating market cap: about RMB 96.72 billion

Key points in recent days

1. BNB is a platform token; its price is strongly influenced by Binance platform operations, regulatory news, and overall market correlation, leading to highly volatile movements

2. Market news and regulatory policies can cause sharp rises or falls at any time; the risk of futures/derivatives trading is amplified multiple times $BTC
静心1688
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💥Chase the wind and race the moon—don’t pause. Strive right now, and live up to your youth, without letting yourself down.

#Arkham称贝莱德20天买入15亿美元ETH
光明社区-阿波罗
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Riding the waves to迎光, embarking on new horizons, together we reach far, and open a brilliant new chapter.
Ride the waves, embrace light, and stride toward a brilliant future.
avatar
@Hawk自由哥
is speaking
[LIVE] 🎙️ Crypto market trends discussion; answer questions for newcomers ✅ Build the Binance Plaza 🦅 Spread the ideals of freedom! Maintain ecological balance!
9k listens
花涧空
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“The Clear Bill’s failure is extremely detrimental to cryptocurrencies.”

“No, that’s not the case. Have you read this bill?”

“No. Have you?”

“No.”
圣克斯Lucky1688
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🧧🎁🧧🎁🧧🎁
Around September 18, a series of important infrastructure upgrades, project pivots, and industry ecosystem developments took place in the blockchain sector:

1. The Vanar chain completed a major migration and formally shut down its independent L1 mainnet Vanar project. On September 18, it officially initiated the shutdown and liquidation procedures for its original independent Layer 1 blockchain. Before that, on September 17, the project had completed the migration of its token contracts, and trading of VANRY tokens on Ethereum and Polygon was formally paused, fully transitioning to the Base chain. This move marks its departure from the early era of independent public chains. In the future, its strategy will fully shift toward an AI application ecosystem built on the Base chain and “AI Organizations” (AI orgs) platform (such as the Foundry platform planned for release on October 1).

2. In mid-September, the industry’s pragmatic shift toward real-world Web3 business adoption accelerated. The focus of discussions in the Web3 space is moving faster from pure token speculation and concept hype toward “eliminating real-world friction in commerce.” Developers and startups are increasingly inclined to apply blockchain technology to scenarios that truly require multi-party trust, tamper-proof credentials, supply-chain anti-counterfeiting, and digital identity verification—while keeping sensitive data and core business logic off-chain. The emphasis is on “trust infrastructure is better than token theater.”

3. Global regional Web3 and blockchain conferences continued to advance. With mid-September approaching, Web3 technical events and conferences combining academia and industry (such as regional tech events like Brazil’s Web3 PE, etc.) are also rolling out in close succession. These discussions mainly focus on concrete deployment cases of blockchain in areas such as the digital economy, compliant payments, and the creative industries. Overall, as of September 18, the Web3 industry is undergoing structural adjustments: public-chain ecosystems are converging toward mainstream high-performance networks (such as Base) through architectural upgrades, while the industry’s application layer is becoming more pragmatic and compliant.

Follow me and get the $SOL red envelope in Answer 1!

🧧🎁🧧🎁🧧🎁
Bilverse
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🔥 MASSIVE SOL RED PACKET GIVEAWAY! 🧧💰

Who’s ready to grab some Big SOL right now? I’m dropping heavy Solana Red Packets—and you definitely don't want to miss this one.

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#SOL #Bilverse #RedPacketMission
Bitroot铄鸿
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空山栖寂,不纳纷喧,清风自来,漫渡岁岁安然!
Empty mountains dwell in peace, no chaotic noise to bear; pure wind comes of itself, blessing every peaceful year!
白鲨观点马来西亚
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BTC falls below the 78,000 mark—today’s PPI is the “trailer” for the CPI
This morning, BTC tested the 78,000 support, dipping as low as 77,900.
The market is like a fully drawn bow, just waiting for tonight’s PPI and tomorrow’s CPI to release the string.
First, let’s talk about why PPI matters.
PPI is the Producer Price Index—basically a “leading indicator” for CPI.
If factory costs rise, it will eventually filter through to consumers.
Market expectations are PPI MoM +0.2% and YoY +1.4%.
If it comes in above expectations, it’s basically like previewing that tomorrow’s CPI won’t look good either—
the probability of further rate hikes keeps climbing, and BTC will most likely drop to test lower supports.
Conversely, if PPI is below expectations,
markets may price in optimism in advance that “the CPI could cool off,”
and the 80,000 level might be pulled back just like that.
My plan today: I’m not betting on direction—I’ll wait for the data.
I cut my position to 30%, keeping plenty of ammunition on hand, and I’ll make moves once the numbers come out.
The PPI release is tonight at 20:30, and I’ll interpret it in real time in the chat.
Want to know first how the data will affect the market? Tap my avatar to enter the chat—the code word is “PPI.”
By the way, do you think today’s PPI will beat expectations or come in below them?
Drop your bet in the comments: if it beats expectations, you lose 1; if it’s below expectations, you lose 2.

#BinanceSquare #bitcoin #PPI #加密市场 #CPI前瞻
Mira小白桃
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🔥$ZEC has rushed to 1500—can it still move higher from here?

This round of ZEC’s strength has indeed gone beyond many people’s expectations.

From breaking through a key resistance level and continuously setting new highs, it has now entered a very critical position:

The uptrend hasn’t shown obvious signs of being broken, but the short-term market has already entered a high-level standoff.

Currently, the market has a few viewpoints that are quite interesting.

Some traders believe that ZEC now looks more like high-level consolidation within a strong trend. As long as the core breakout zone can be defended, there’s still a possibility for further upward expansion.

But some analysts are starting to warn:

Rising too fast is itself a risk.

Derivatives positioning continues to increase, and technical indicators have also moved into a clearly overheated area.

So going forward, I won’t simply chase the number “1500.”

I’m watching three areas instead:

First, the breakout zone overhead.

If ZEC can continue to break the prior high with expanding volume, and after breaking out it can turn this zone into a new support level, then the strong uptrend still has room to continue.

For the next phase above, keep an eye on higher integer psychological levels.

Second, the pressure around 1500.

This is a very important psychological level.

If it spikes up and then quickly falls back, it suggests that profit-taking from higher levels has started to cash in.

In that case, the short term is more likely to enter consolidation rather than immediately pushing higher.

Third, the core support zone below.

Right now, market analysis is focused on the earlier breakout zone.

As long as this zone holds, ZEC is still in a strong structure.

But if it breaks down and the subsequent retest can’t reclaim it, then be careful—this rally may be entering a deeper correction. Earlier analysis also pointed to the next lower layer of support as an observation area if the trend starts to weaken.

So my conclusion is simple:

ZEC still has upside potential, but the risk of chasing after a spike is getting higher.

Strong breakout and holding firm → continue to look for trend extension.

Push high and then pull back at high levels → wait for the dip to confirm.

If core support is lost → guard against the uptrend structure weakening.

When the market is strong, you can’t rely on emotion to chase.

I’d rather wait for a comfortable entry point than FOMO just because I see 1500.
九千金-融易挣乾
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Half the happiness is carbs, half is the focus on making money
Refill coffee, keep trading, and live the days with flavor 📊
白鲨观点_VN
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One evening, Minh sent me a photo. It was an old sheet of paper with the following note written on it: “If the price drops to this level, no matter how optimistic you are, you must sell.”

I asked: “How long have you kept it?”

“Five years.”

Five years later, he himself had to use that rule again. At that moment, he had a large profit. The market started to shake, but he still said, “In the long run, I still believe.”
I asked: “So why did you write this rule five years ago?”
He went silent, then smiled: “Because back then I didn’t have any money in the market. Without a position, I was very rational.”

That’s right. Before entering a trade, everyone finds it easy to set rules. But once real money is on the table, greed and fear often make us change our decisions.

In the end, Minh sold exactly according to the rule. A few days later, the market dropped sharply.
He only said: “I don’t know whether the price will go up or down. I just know that I must follow the principles I set for myself.”

In trading, sometimes what protects you isn’t the ability to predict the market, but the rules written down before emotions show up.
#45NgayTuDoTaiChinh $BTC
#baisha
全球零撸达人
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Good afternoon🌞 #红包 h b#红包 🧧
慢就是快Mike
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$PEOPLE Every year during the U.S. presidential election, this coin will have market action. “By the people, for the people” — you can stake a position in advance!
520龙行天下
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Today’s Crypto Market Hot Topics: The Fed rate-hike “shoe” has dropped, market sentiment has warmed up, and crypto prices are surging. The DeFi sector has jumped 6.8%; UNI is up nearly 20% and has broken above $8; ZEC has hit a new high again; NEAR and HYPE lead the gains. The SEC has rolled out a novel exemption for tokenized stocks, and the RWA concept is heating up. BTC is holding steady around $76,000. Invest rationally and watch out for risks.
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