#美联储加息是否已成定局
‼️$BTC is about to present a great low-buying opportunity!
The market is pricing in a 92.4% probability of a 25bp rate hike.
The 10-year US Treasury just broke above 5%.
Brent is still around $108.
The CLARITY Act failed to pass yesterday.
With so many negative catalysts stacked together, BTC is still holding near $75,000.
This is the evidence that makes me confident to wait for a low buy.
As for the bad news that everyone should know— the market has already priced in a lot of it.
If tonight there is only a 25bp hike, and Warsh does not clearly signal consecutive rate hikes, I will go long on $BTC .
The market has even started betting that BTC will reclaim the $80,000 level again before the end of the year.
But: if after the rate hike the 10-year yield continues to hold above 5%, and the US dollar continues to rally, and Warsh clearly hints at further consecutive hikes.
When these three signals appear, I recommend giving up on adding more and instead reducing leverage!
Tonight I will watch the FOMC, the 10-year US Treasury, and BTC.
Follow me—once the results come out, I will update my trading view immediately.
#美联储加息是否已成定局 #BTC
‼️$BTC is about to present a great low-buying opportunity!
The market is pricing in a 92.4% probability of a 25bp rate hike.
The 10-year US Treasury just broke above 5%.
Brent is still around $108.
The CLARITY Act failed to pass yesterday.
With so many negative catalysts stacked together, BTC is still holding near $75,000.
This is the evidence that makes me confident to wait for a low buy.
As for the bad news that everyone should know— the market has already priced in a lot of it.
If tonight there is only a 25bp hike, and Warsh does not clearly signal consecutive rate hikes, I will go long on $BTC .
The market has even started betting that BTC will reclaim the $80,000 level again before the end of the year.
But: if after the rate hike the 10-year yield continues to hold above 5%, and the US dollar continues to rally, and Warsh clearly hints at further consecutive hikes.
When these three signals appear, I recommend giving up on adding more and instead reducing leverage!
Tonight I will watch the FOMC, the 10-year US Treasury, and BTC.
Follow me—once the results come out, I will update my trading view immediately.
#美联储加息是否已成定局 #BTC
