🚨 FOMC SEPTEMBER: THE REAL MARKET TEST
Everyone is watching the Fed tomorrow.
August core CPI came in at +0.3% MoM, pushing rate-hike expectations close to 90%+. But the bigger question isn’t simply “Will the Fed hike?”
It’s: WHAT COMES AFTER THE HIKE?
A 25bp hike may already be priced in. The real volatility could come from Powell’s tone and the path for future meetings.
My view:
₿ $BTC : Initial pressure is possible, but if the hike is fully priced, a “sell the news” reversal could hit shorts.
📉 Tech stocks: Higher yields = valuation pressure. High-beta names could see the biggest swings.
🥇 Gold: Short-term pressure from tighter policy, but persistent inflation could keep long-term demand strong.
I’m watching liquidity, not headlines.
If BTC sweeps downside liquidity and quickly reclaims support after the decision, that could become the setup I want.
If the Fed signals MORE hikes ahead, risk assets could get another shock.
One hike is an event. The guidance decides the trend.
What’s your move — BTC, stocks, or gold?
#FedRateWatch
Everyone is watching the Fed tomorrow.
August core CPI came in at +0.3% MoM, pushing rate-hike expectations close to 90%+. But the bigger question isn’t simply “Will the Fed hike?”
It’s: WHAT COMES AFTER THE HIKE?
A 25bp hike may already be priced in. The real volatility could come from Powell’s tone and the path for future meetings.
My view:
₿ $BTC : Initial pressure is possible, but if the hike is fully priced, a “sell the news” reversal could hit shorts.
📉 Tech stocks: Higher yields = valuation pressure. High-beta names could see the biggest swings.
🥇 Gold: Short-term pressure from tighter policy, but persistent inflation could keep long-term demand strong.
I’m watching liquidity, not headlines.
If BTC sweeps downside liquidity and quickly reclaims support after the decision, that could become the setup I want.
If the Fed signals MORE hikes ahead, risk assets could get another shock.
One hike is an event. The guidance decides the trend.
What’s your move — BTC, stocks, or gold?
#FedRateWatch
