#美联储加息概率升至89%
Wall Street already has 93% of people betting on a Fed rate hike. $BTC hasn’t crashed yet—this is a very interesting phenomenon!
Oil prices have surged to $107.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has broken above 5% again.
The market now assigns a 93% probability to a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday!
A few weeks ago, everyone was waiting for a rate cut.
Now it’s directly the opposite.
But I won’t short BTC here.
Because the “rate hike” has already been priced in very thoroughly.
What can really smash the market is what Warsh tells everyone:
This is only the first shot—the hikes will continue.
If it’s only a 25-basis-point increase, and the speech doesn’t get more hawkish, I’ll buy BTC on the pullback.
The easiest time for the market to rebound is often when everyone has already bought up all the bad news.
#BTC #FOMC #美联储何时降息？
Wall Street already has 93% of people betting on a Fed rate hike. $BTC hasn’t crashed yet—this is a very interesting phenomenon!
Oil prices have surged to $107.
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has broken above 5% again.
The market now assigns a 93% probability to a 25-basis-point hike on Wednesday!
A few weeks ago, everyone was waiting for a rate cut.
Now it’s directly the opposite.
But I won’t short BTC here.
Because the “rate hike” has already been priced in very thoroughly.
What can really smash the market is what Warsh tells everyone:
This is only the first shot—the hikes will continue.
If it’s only a 25-basis-point increase, and the speech doesn’t get more hawkish, I’ll buy BTC on the pullback.
The easiest time for the market to rebound is often when everyone has already bought up all the bad news.
#BTC #FOMC #美联储何时降息？
