📌 Fed Week: the market awaits the rate decision

Wednesday, September 16 — the key day. At 15:30 Kyiv time, U.S. retail sales will be released (forecast +0.8% m/m vs -0.6% prior), and at 21:00 — the Fed’s rate decision. Market expectations are 3.75%.

🏦 The main thing — not the number itself, but Powell’s tone at the press conference at 21:30. The rhetoric about the next steps usually moves the market more than the decision itself.

📊 Thursday, September 17 (15:30 Kyiv time) — the Philadelphia Fed index and jobless claims. Weak labor market data is currently read as an argument for a more dovish policy, which historically supports risk assets, including BTC.

💬 Volatility on such news is usually elevated on both sides — it’s worth setting wider stops and not overestimating leverage on Wednesday evening.

❓ Do you think the rate will stay at 3.75%, or will the Fed surprise the market?

❗️Be careful and stay prudent. Always manage risks.