The second bite has come back to 2515 again, brothers—do you think the big fish is coming? Don’t rush to cast your rod yet! What you fear most is this: if you chase a move to the north, it turns back; if you throw a net to the south, it turns back again. You keep running it back and forth on both sides, and in the end you’re the one doing the “trolling.” If you don’t get it, it’s fine—you can look at the conclusion directly in the homepage chat.

This stretch of water is still hovering within the flag pattern, but without the water volume to back it up, keep your hands in your pockets for now. Today, remember two near-term checkpoints: upper 2525, lower 2507.

At 2525: only if it pushes through with enough water volume should you then consider following it north. On the hourly timeframe, as long as it can hold, first watch 2546, then see whether 2577 follows. If it just shows its head and the water volume doesn’t keep up, don’t treat it like the dam has already opened.

On the other hand, if 2507 leaks downward with water volume, then consider following south. After a four-hour confirmation of a breakdown, the downstream area should watch 2460 down to 2406. Until it’s confirmed, don’t keep throwing nets around in the middle—if you don’t catch the fish, you’ll run out of bait first.

Also make sure to distinguish the dams below. 2498 is the first dam right in front of you—if it’s still holding, don’t rush your focus onto 2457. Further down, as long as this storage area from 2457 to 2406 is still intact, the room to the south remains constrained. If the four-hour follow-through along 2419 hasn’t broken, don’t call for a breach yourself too soon.

Going up isn’t smooth just because it passes 2525 either. 2525 is for watching the nearby moves; 2538 is the threshold where the flag pattern flips upward. Only when 2538 passes with water volume do you have the right to keep looking for 2568.

But brothers, the real “lid” on the four-hour chart is at 2574! Until that lid is lifted, the northward space hasn’t truly opened.

So don’t take a short burst of waves near you as the whole water area changing direction. Focus on 2525 and 2507 up close; on the four-hour chart, watch 2574 and 2419. Only after the lid comes off above can you look for expansion to the north; only after a breakdown below can you look for expansion to the south. If neither side breaks through, then it’s still just grinding within the range.

Write down these checkpoints and come back later to verify: has the floodgate really opened, or is it just going to jerk you again for another turn on the rod? No water volume—don’t rush in early. No flag-pattern break—don’t make hard guesses!