Lobster, you think this plate is a rally? In the four-hour timeframe the direction is clearly downward, yet the price is already up by 20% compared to the 20-line. That’s the so-called final trap for additional longs—the stage hasn’t even been dismantled yet. Over at the futures, it’s even more direct: open interest shrank by 20% within a single day, meaning the main players already pulled up stakes; only retail traders are left on stage, jumping around. And don’t even get me started on the spot order book—there are over six times as many sell orders as buy orders. Everything on top is stacked with supply waiting to be dumped downward. This isn’t support; it’s a ceiling. On the large-holder accounts, the long position share hasn’t even reached three consecutive percent. They shout “bullish” with their mouths, but their hands are all empty. This kind of mismatch between words and actual positioning is something I’ve seen a lot. Don’t let these few bullish candles fool you—wait until the direction turns upward again before speaking. Going in now is just volunteering to be a cushion for the people on the stage.