📉【Monday Deep Dive|Ahead of the FOMC: A Tug-of-War Between Risk Aversion and Liquidity Expectations】

Tensions in the Middle East remain high: crude oil rose more than 3% in early trading, Nasdaq futures fell more than 1%, and the U.S. military has guided 101 merchant vessels to reroute through the Strait of Hormuz. A disruption to Saudi pipeline flows could affect about 4% of global oil supply, and risk-off sentiment in the short term weighs on risk assets such as $BTC .

🏦 But liquidity expectations are heating up: Trump has said the “U.S. should have the lowest interest rates in the world,” and an economic official at the White House said there is “no reason to raise rates.” The FOMC rate decision lands this Thursday. If it releases dovish signals, it could become a key catalyst for the crypto market.

🤖 A wave of AI giants going public: Anthropic has picked a Nasdaq IPO (valuation could reach $200 billion). Zhipu is refinancing with a $5 billion funding round via zero-interest plus a premium-to-convert approach. The AI narrative provides valuation anchors for the crypto AI sector.

⛓️ Crypto catalysts: Grayscale has filed a spot ETF application for $LTC (NYSE Arca, ticker LTCN). Coinbase, together with Moov, is helping more than 1,000 community banks gain access to stablecoins—accelerating penetration in the RWA and payments tracks.

Strategy reference: Reduce positions ahead of the FOMC, and watch for opportunities where ETF-expected assets and AI-themed plays move in tandem. NFA | DYOR

#BTC #LTC #FOMC #AI #RWA