Good afternoon, brothers. Big things are really coming. The super central bank week is here. This week, the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan will release their interest-rate decisions and policy statements. Thursday and Friday are the moments for the long-vs-short battle. Now, the whole market has 80% confidence in a 25 bps hike; the expectation of a rate hike has already been fully priced in. I want to ask everyone—are you afraid?
Bad news has already been accepted and digested by the market. The moment the rate-hike news is implemented is when the bad news is fully priced in. When the bad news is implemented, it becomes good news. And if, by any unexpected chance, there is no rate hike or the stance turns more dovish, that would be an absolute super bullish signal. Therefore, over these past few days, the main idea is still to go long on dips: buy big on major drops. If BTC really does fall, then around the two levels below, 73-70, we’ll still enter positions by chasing the dip. For the other coins, as well as the exact dip-entry points, I’ll cover in the live stream at 8:00 PM tonight!
In the first few days of this week, it should mainly be range-bound. Please control your position size as much as possible. If your position size is heavy, set stop-losses. Direction determines whether you make money, while position size determines whether you survive. The former is a probability question; the latter is a matter of life and death. Last Friday’s ETH move definitely blew up some brothers—unfortunately, after getting blown out it came back down. That’s the cost and consequence of taking positions too heavily without using stop loss!
The aggressive short orders from last night have already dropped and are in profit—if you didn’t take them, price is currently around the entry price again. If it moves up during the day, you can still lightly short; for the long side, do it based on the levels given at the support below. Before Wednesday, volatility probably won’t be too big. Just trade every day according to the levels and set your stop loss accordingly. Last week I gave you a full week of orders, and only on Friday night did it hit the ETH stop-loss level; for the rest, generally every day there were opportunities to profit on both long and short. If your position size is light or you set stop losses, then I can share strategies without pressure.
Today's market analysis:
$BTC Today watch the 77150 level. As long as price holds above it, the 4-hour timeframe will start a rebound. Lightly go short near 78500. If price breaks above, add near 79500-80500. Stop loss: 81500!
If today price retraces and falls below 77150, then this bounce is over. Lightly go long near 76100. Add to the position near 74500-73000. Stop loss: 72000!#BTC走势分析
$ETH Today watch the 2495 level. As long as price holds above it, the 4-hour timeframe will start a rebound. Lightly go short near 2535. If price breaks above, add near 2580-2615. Stop loss: 2635!
Today, you can lightly go long near 2495 on a pullback. If it breaks below, then this bounce is over. Add near 2470-2440. Stop loss: 2425!#ETH走势分析
$BNB Today watch the 728 level. As long as price holds above it, the 4-hour timeframe will start a rebound. Lightly go short near 740. If price breaks above, add near 757-770. Stop loss: 775!
Today, you can lightly go long near the previous low at 715 on a pullback. If it breaks below, the trend is fully weakened. Add near 705-691. Stop loss: 685!#BNB走势
SOL today watch the 102 level. Only if it holds above this level will the 4-hour timeframe start a rebound. Lightly go short near 104. If price breaks above, add near 106.8-108.6. Stop loss: 109.5!
Today, you can lightly go long near the previous low around 99 on a pullback. If it breaks below, the market is completely weakened. Add near 97.5-95. Stop loss: 94!#solana
【Daily needle-prick entry levels for both long and short are for reference only—manage your position size. Light position means 0.5% of your capital. For pressure/support levels, place orders in batches, with each level only 1% position size. If placing limit orders at points, use 100x the price and don’t exceed 2% of total position size to leave room for adding. If position size is heavy, set your stop loss well. Commission is 20% off. Invitation code: BNB789】