$TEAM 24 hours down 4.6%, but the funding rate is still 0.00078—this is a signal that longs are trapped and adding to positions. When political and military events increase risk aversion and reduce appetite, this kind of drop with a positive funding-rate structure is the most grinding: long costs are accumulating, and even a rebound is met by profit-taking that slams the market.
The strongest argument against it is that a sudden easing of geopolitical tensions could flip risk sentiment, but the probability is low. The second-order effect is that a position cost of 0.00078 per day keeps deducting—when longs can’t hold anymore, it can trigger a chain liquidation.
Only if the price can hold above 180 should this view be considered invalid.
Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #TEAM
Where do you think this thesis is most likely to be wrong?
The strongest argument against it is that a sudden easing of geopolitical tensions could flip risk sentiment, but the probability is low. The second-order effect is that a position cost of 0.00078 per day keeps deducting—when longs can’t hold anymore, it can trigger a chain liquidation.
Only if the price can hold above 180 should this view be considered invalid.
Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #TEAM
Where do you think this thesis is most likely to be wrong?