$HYPE 4 In 24 hours, it surged in volume and then a long bearish candle got dumped. It was smashed straight from 88.381 down to 84.7—one candlestick dropped 4.1%.

That bearish candle’s trading volume exceeded 2 million contracts, and the traded value was 175 million. It’s three times the volume of the previous few candlesticks. This isn’t something retail traders can smash through.

Hyperliquid is a decentralized perpetual contracts exchange. It uses an on-chain order book and doesn’t rely on AMM. Among the projects in the DEX sector right now, it’s one of the most steady. But stability doesn’t mean it won’t fall.

The chart signals are very clear. The bulls tried to break out around 88, but they were knocked back. This wasn’t a slow pullback—it was pressed down. The 24h drop is 2.48%, and the traded value is 574 million. Volume is concentrated in the down-leg, while it shrinks in the rebound leg. A typical short-dominant structure.

Market sentiment is cautious. The funding rate is 0.005%, basically zero. This suggests the longs don’t dare add positions, and shorts also haven’t rushed in on a large scale. The market is waiting for direction. But given that big-volume long bearish candle, the most likely outcome of what they’re waiting for is a breakdown to the downside.

Whale activity shows up in both price and volume. After the wick at 88.381, the very next thing is three consecutive bearish candles. There wasn’t a meaningful rebound in between. The largest bearish candle’s body fell from 87.8 to 85.1, with volume of 2.02 million contracts. This kind of move indicates someone is unloading in size at the high. It’s not a test—it’s decisive selling.

The volume-price structure is off. When the rebound reached 87.8, the volume was only 850k—less than 40% of the volume during the selloff phase. A low-volume rebound means there’s no new money stepping in to take the bids. The bulls are waiting for others to lift the price, but no one is coming. This structure can’t hold.

The candlestick details are even more direct. On the 4h chart candle at 88.381, the upper wick is more than twice the length of the body. It closed at 85.13, opening at 87.82—an almost textbook shooting star variant. The following two small candles tried to bounce, but the high only reached 85.75, never even touching the midpoint of that big bearish candle. The shorts fully control the market.

Support to watch is 84.7. This is the 24h low and also the tip of that high-volume long wick candle. If it breaks, then 84.4 to 84.5 is the upper edge of the sideways range from a few days ago—there could be some support there. But judging by this type of selloff, it’s questionable.

Resistance is at 88.3. In the near term, it’s unlikely to get tested again. 86.5 is the first rebound resistance; above 87 is where the real sentiment reversal level is.

Nini’s plan: Current price is 85.02. Bias is bearish. If 84.7 holds, it may range between 84.7 and 86.5 for a few days. If it doesn’t hold, there’s more downside room below 84. No rush to bottom-pick—wait for a volume-backed selloff-stops signal first. If you need a customized strategy, you can find Nini.

#HYPE #DeFi #PerpDEX