Just after asking whether peace could be achieved, Putin actually talked for 3 hours: is BTC’s reaction a bit too calm?
Putin held more than 3 hours of in-depth talks with U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner at the Kremlin, raising expectations for Russia-Ukraine peace and boosting risk assets.
I just mentioned this Witkoff-and-Kushner trip to Moscow earlier, and now it has happened: on the evening of December 5, Putin met with the two at the Kremlin for more than 3 hours. The wording from Russian presidential adviser Ushakov was “substantive, constructive, extremely candid, and based on mutual trust.”
In plain English: if they can talk for 3 hours and use the phrase “mutual trust,” it means this is not just for show—the two sides are really pushing the terms forward.
Impact on the market
- Short term: easing geopolitical tensions is a classic risk-on signal, and in theory BTC should get a boost. But looking at the chart, BTC $79,896.75 only rose 0.33%, ETH $2,487.7 rose 1.38%, and the reaction was quite restrained 🤔. Either the market has already priced it in, or it is waiting for a concrete agreement. In contrast, BNB rose 6.59%, with funds flowing into the Binance ecosystem.
- Medium term: if a peace framework really takes shape, energy prices should fall -> inflation expectations cool -> giving the Fed more room to ease. That transmission chain is a sustained positive for crypto.
My view
I’m bullish, but cautiously so. The talks themselves are a necessary condition, not a sufficient one. There have been too many back-and-forth negotiations in history. In the short term for BTC, the key is whether it can hold above $103.41K; that level is both a psychological barrier and a recent turning point. Below that, around $103.41K is support. I’m about 70% confident in this call, and I’ll leave the other 30% to the give-and-take at the negotiating table. If I’m wrong, please go easy on me—I’m only watching with a small position myself.
- Coins: BTC / ETH
- Direction: Positive📈 Forecast: rise
- Timeframe: BTC 12h / ETH 24h
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
📊 Historical backtest
- Similar case: “Peter Schiff says Bitcoin may reach $100,000” (2024-02-14) After publication, BTC 12h change +0.50%, bullish call ✅ correct
#Geopolitics
⚠️ Not financial advice
Putin held more than 3 hours of in-depth talks with U.S. envoys Witkoff and Kushner at the Kremlin, raising expectations for Russia-Ukraine peace and boosting risk assets.
I just mentioned this Witkoff-and-Kushner trip to Moscow earlier, and now it has happened: on the evening of December 5, Putin met with the two at the Kremlin for more than 3 hours. The wording from Russian presidential adviser Ushakov was “substantive, constructive, extremely candid, and based on mutual trust.”
In plain English: if they can talk for 3 hours and use the phrase “mutual trust,” it means this is not just for show—the two sides are really pushing the terms forward.
Impact on the market
- Short term: easing geopolitical tensions is a classic risk-on signal, and in theory BTC should get a boost. But looking at the chart, BTC $79,896.75 only rose 0.33%, ETH $2,487.7 rose 1.38%, and the reaction was quite restrained 🤔. Either the market has already priced it in, or it is waiting for a concrete agreement. In contrast, BNB rose 6.59%, with funds flowing into the Binance ecosystem.
- Medium term: if a peace framework really takes shape, energy prices should fall -> inflation expectations cool -> giving the Fed more room to ease. That transmission chain is a sustained positive for crypto.
My view
I’m bullish, but cautiously so. The talks themselves are a necessary condition, not a sufficient one. There have been too many back-and-forth negotiations in history. In the short term for BTC, the key is whether it can hold above $103.41K; that level is both a psychological barrier and a recent turning point. Below that, around $103.41K is support. I’m about 70% confident in this call, and I’ll leave the other 30% to the give-and-take at the negotiating table. If I’m wrong, please go easy on me—I’m only watching with a small position myself.
- Coins: BTC / ETH
- Direction: Positive📈 Forecast: rise
- Timeframe: BTC 12h / ETH 24h
$BTC $ETH #BTC #ETH
📊 Historical backtest
- Similar case: “Peter Schiff says Bitcoin may reach $100,000” (2024-02-14) After publication, BTC 12h change +0.50%, bullish call ✅ correct
#Geopolitics
⚠️ Not financial advice
