9.4, near the 80,500 big pie, play defensive at 79,900; targets at 81,500/82,200. Take a 600-point small “bamboo shoot” for trial-and-error—this location has a pretty good risk-reward ratio.
The big pie 1H has held above the 80,000 threshold. The short moving averages are strongly trending upward, and the bullish structure is intact. A pullback for confirmation is better than chasing after a breakout.
Current price is 80,758. As long as 80,000 is not broken, the market’s bullish logic remains valid.
On the news front, Fed governor Waller issued a dovish signal. The probability of a September rate hike fell from 63% to 52%, but the internal debate within the Fed over inflation and further rate hikes is still ongoing. Institutions’ ETFs are still moving in to get positions established in time. Risk appetite is warming up; while market sentiment hasn’t fully locked in yet, it’s a good time to actively lay out positions.
On geopolitics, oil prices have touched a six-week high. The situation around the Strait of Hormuz remains unresolved. US strikes on Iran have sharply increased geopolitical risk, so insertion/spike risk can’t be ignored.
In 9 years of trading, when others are afraid, we are greedy.
With large market fluctuations, hold the 80,000 line. Moving a bit slower actually makes it steadier to take profits.
Before tonight’s Big Non-Farm comes out, first see whether the “cannon” can keep gaining strength. $BTC #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
The big pie 1H has held above the 80,000 threshold. The short moving averages are strongly trending upward, and the bullish structure is intact. A pullback for confirmation is better than chasing after a breakout.
Current price is 80,758. As long as 80,000 is not broken, the market’s bullish logic remains valid.
On the news front, Fed governor Waller issued a dovish signal. The probability of a September rate hike fell from 63% to 52%, but the internal debate within the Fed over inflation and further rate hikes is still ongoing. Institutions’ ETFs are still moving in to get positions established in time. Risk appetite is warming up; while market sentiment hasn’t fully locked in yet, it’s a good time to actively lay out positions.
On geopolitics, oil prices have touched a six-week high. The situation around the Strait of Hormuz remains unresolved. US strikes on Iran have sharply increased geopolitical risk, so insertion/spike risk can’t be ignored.
In 9 years of trading, when others are afraid, we are greedy.
With large market fluctuations, hold the 80,000 line. Moving a bit slower actually makes it steadier to take profits.
Before tonight’s Big Non-Farm comes out, first see whether the “cannon” can keep gaining strength. $BTC #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万
