The Federal Reserve’s March meeting minutes are out. The one thing the crypto market cares about most: how far away is the rate cut?

The minutes focus on two key points: first, whether officials are confident that inflation is cooling; second, how heated the internal debate is over the pace of easing. If the minutes tilt dovish and rate-cut expectations rise—then a weaker dollar and looser liquidity provide the fuel for “big hopes,” and takeoff is just a matter of time. Conversely, if they’re still fixated on inflation, the market may have to keep grinding in the short term.

Right now, the macro backdrop is the main storyline. Every word in the minutes is worth taking a close look at. In terms of trading, don’t chase pumps or sell-offs—hold your spot and wait for the wind to change!

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