9.1 Near 2430 on Ethereum, be defensive around 2400, with targets at 2510/2560

After a 1H spike up to 2530, Ethereum pulled back and confirmed; the current price is 2461.
The short moving averages are flat and sticking together, forming a strong support zone around 2400–2420. The long lower wick on the candlestick indicates that selling pressure has temporarily paused; going long after support is held is steadier than chasing shorts.

On the news front, Warsh delivered a more hawkish speech at Jackson Hole, raising the September rate-hike probability to 55.5%. Macroeconomic pressure is weighing on risk assets.
However, Ethereum spot ETFs have seen net inflows for 13 consecutive days; in the last 9 days alone, cumulative inflows have exceeded $1.4 billion. Institutional positioning support is clearly strong.

Geopolitics: tensions between the U.S. and the Lanze situation continue to intensify. The oil price surge lifts inflation expectations, and the market could suddenly insert sharp spikes at any time.

In 9 years of trading, rapid turnarounds often shake out uncommitted positions.
When you’re at the right level, execute. Only by sticking to discipline can you truly capture this round of deep-squat rebound. $ETH
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