$RKLB Today, the 24-hour drop is 2.327%, and the price is holding at 63.79. Funding is at 0, open interest is 141941.39.

From the perspective of “Trump trading,” the order book feels a bit too cold. I don’t see any policy premium, and the shorts aren’t clustering either.

My take is very direct: this is a direction vacuum—neither side is taking actions that cost them. I won’t chase orders at 63.79. The price has fallen 2.327% with funding at zero, which suggests there’s no crowded longs and no concentrated shorts—just a bit of localized selling pressure. Looking at this single signal alone, I’m not taking sides.

To argue against me, you could cite expectations for Trump’s space policy and say this drop is an overreaction. But $RKLB today didn’t even have a decent rebound—the narrative hasn’t entered the trading tape. If it were truly good news, the price wouldn’t just stick around 63.79 without moving.

What happens next—who moves first? Right now, neither longs nor shorts are willing to pay for direction. Liquidity is just waiting for the price to break above 63.79 first. My plan: get back above 63.79 and wait for the 24h drop to return to above 0, then try a long. Set a stop loss below 63.79—if it doesn’t break, hold.

Trading tag: #TradFi #链上美股 #RKLB

Where do you think this thesis is most likely to be wrong?